Observation #49442

← Research Observations / #49442

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.180340

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $11,928,987

Synced: 10-22 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 20:00) Next (10-22 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_rotation

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.4487

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 20:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000940%

Annualized8.23%

Premium-0.00042482

Settled at: 2026-10-22 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)107,670,442.80

OI (USD)$19,403,290

Mark price$0.180210

Funding next0.000712%

Day vol (USD)$12,895,284

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 20:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.205%

Change 4h +0.682%

Change 24h +0.512%

Z-score 7d 0.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000142%

Avg 24h 0.001101%

Percentile 7d 14.9%

Percentile 30d 20.4%

Δ 4h -0.001108%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.496%

Divergence 0.25

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.566

OI / Vol z-7d

0.50

OI momentum 4h

+1.200%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+15 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393466	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.699	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	early 29b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.94	79%	↑ +0.32	below_value	-6.55	—	#190847	0.58	bull_high	+5.19%	-0.48	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:17	↗
4h #393352	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.585	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 17b -1.2ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.87	54%	↓ -0.22	below_value	-6.55	—	#190847	0.43	bear_high	-1.47%	-0.68	22/10 16:00 upd 22/10 20:12	↗
1h anchor #393857	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.474	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 11b -0.7ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	1.88	81%	↔ +0.15	below_value	-6.18	—	#191060	0.68	bear_medium	-1.16%	-0.04	22/10 20:00 upd 22/10 21:08	↗
15m #393785	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.381	compression	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 38%	early 7b 0.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.3ATR	1.65	87%	↔ +0.03	below_value	-6.55	—	#190847	0.53	range_low	-0.66%	-0.01	22/10 20:45 upd 22/10 21:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #219493	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	0s	0.503	0.385	28/71	2026-10-22 21:00	2026-10-22 21:35
4h #219349	fresh	2026-10-22 16:00	1h	0.392	0.341	60/72	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:37
1d #219420	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	1h	0.269	0.305	62/71	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190989	fresh	2026-10-22 20:45	0s	$0.180728	$0.183966	$0.178283	hvn	-0.34	4.91
7d #191060	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	0s	$0.198141	$0.200678	$0.187628	between	-6.18	4.53
30d #190918	fresh	2026-10-22 16:00	1h	$0.202051	$0.218984	$0.177242	value	-3.46	6.11

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.189649 → $0.192160	1.32%	2.17	0.93	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009309	-8.05
below	$0.192557 → $0.193350	0.41%	0.69	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012217	-10.56

Prix observé : $0.180340. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.174820 → $0.178445	2.05%	1.26	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001895	+0.66
below	$0.185453 → $0.187145	0.91%	0.59	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.005113	-1.77
below	$0.201887 → $0.203820	0.95%	0.67	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.021547	-7.48

Prix observé : $0.180340. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.173304	7.06%	1.73	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007036	+1.03
below	$0.244186 → $0.256000	4.72%	1.73	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.063846	-9.34

Prix observé : $0.180340. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T00:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T00:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}