Observation #49788

← Research Observations / #49788

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-23 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,850.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,904,530,344

Synced: 10-23 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-23 01:00) Next (10-23 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_rotation

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.8039

evaluated_at: 2026-10-23 01:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00002851

Settled at: 2026-10-23 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)43,798.44

OI (USD)$3,586,479,102

Mark price$81,886.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,078,929,046

Snapshot at: 2026-10-23 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.088%

Change 4h +1.410%

Change 24h +9.142%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.625%

Divergence 0.22

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.156

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.63

OI momentum 4h

+1.734%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+29 crowded

Time: 2026-10-23 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393439	fresh	6h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	balanced	0.666	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early 31b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.57	88%	↑ +0.35	above_value	-0.06	—	#190840	—	—	—	—	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:15	↗
4h #394972	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.582	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 8b -0.6ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.97	70%	↑ +0.37	above_value	+1.25	—	#191344	—	—	—	—	22/10 20:00 upd 23/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #395764	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.644	normal	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 34%	early 13b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.30	23%	↓ -0.52	above_value	+0.12	—	#191696	—	—	—	—	23/10 01:00 upd 23/10 02:05	↗
15m #395693	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.787	expansion	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b 0.9ATR	—	near -0.8ATR	0.17	2%	↓ -0.71	above_value	+0.12	—	#191696	—	—	—	—	23/10 01:45 upd 23/10 02:00	↗
5m #395692	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.553	normal	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 44%	early 6b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.21	3%	↔ -0.13	above_value	+0.12	—	#191696	—	—	—	—	23/10 01:55 upd 23/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #219906	fresh	2026-10-23 01:00	0s	0.503	0.501	38/69	2026-10-23 02:00	2026-10-23 02:35
4h #219768	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	2h	0.557	0.513	12/69	2026-10-23 00:00	2026-10-23 00:37
1d #219413	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	6h	0.528	0.464	4/71	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #191766	fresh	2026-10-23 01:45	0s	$81,827.17	$81,962.60	$81,245.60	hvn	0.12	3.78
7d #191836	fresh	2026-10-23 01:00	0s	$81,537.78	$82,747.00	$80,994.50	hvn	0.76	4.24
30d #191556	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	2h	$83,500.83	$84,735.99	$81,505.57	value	-1.97	3.91

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$82,329.07 → $82,472.47	0.17%	0.76	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $479.07	-2.52
below	$82,568.07 → $82,823.00	0.31%	1.34	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $718.07	-3.78

Prix observé : $81,850.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,483.05 → $84,289.20	0.96%	1.95	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,633.05	-3.95

Prix observé : $81,850.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,808.81	1.34%	1.30	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,041.19	+1.26
below	$86,509.56 → $87,333.00	0.95%	1.00	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,659.56	-5.63

Prix observé : $81,850.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	02:05	02:20	+0.21%	+0.43×	+0.49×	0.00×	15m	5m	High first	1.00	0.00%	+0.21%	3.91%	0.24%	$7.41M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	02:05	03:05	-0.01%	-0.03×	+0.49×	-0.03×	15m	1h	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.01%	19.84%	0.26%	$24.87M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	02:05	06:05	-0.19%	-0.38×	+0.49×	-0.60×	15m	2h	High first	0.08	0.00%	-0.19%	19.40%	0.54%	$136.47M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	02:05	14:05	-0.30%	-0.61×	+0.76×	-1.69×	8h	8h20m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.30%	35.14%	1.20%	$1.06B	— / —	10:15 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	02:05	02:05	-1.30%	-2.66×	+0.76×	-3.21×	8h	17h10m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-1.30%	31.43%	1.94%	$1.92B	— / —	10:15 / 18:45	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T05:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}