Observation #49923

← Research Observations / #49923

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-23 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.259220

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,159,070

Synced: 10-23 04:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-23 02:00) Next (10-23 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.6471

evaluated_at: 2026-10-23 02:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00005981

Settled at: 2026-10-23 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)78,766,000.00

OI (USD)$20,411,421

Mark price$0.259140

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,953,250

Snapshot at: 2026-10-23 02:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.332%

Change 4h -0.492%

Change 24h -1.406%

Z-score 7d 0.75

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 72.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.008%

Divergence 0.23

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.507

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.31

OI momentum 4h

-1.192%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+753 crowded

Time: 2026-10-23 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 167 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393626	fresh	7h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 44%	—	—	—	0.40	9%	↓ -0.58	below_value	-2.38	inside	#190909	—	bull_high	+5.19%	-1.00	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:25	↗
4h #395125	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.650	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 8b -1.0ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.97	13%	↑ +0.16	above_value	+0.02	inside	#191554	0.34	bear_high	-0.86%	-0.26	22/10 20:00 upd 23/10 00:17	↗
1h anchor #396188	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.362	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 10b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.37	73%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+0.24	—	#192040	0.51	range_medium	-0.54%	-0.09	23/10 02:00 upd 23/10 03:10	↗
15m #396118	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.584	normal	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 38%	early 2b 0.7ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.05	1%	↓ -0.59	above_value	+0.36	—	#191904	0.61	range_low	-0.01%	+0.17	23/10 02:45 upd 23/10 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #220042	fresh	2026-10-23 02:00	0s	0.516	0.397	24/69	2026-10-23 03:00	2026-10-23 03:37
4h #219835	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	3h	0.387	0.379	65/69	2026-10-23 00:00	2026-10-23 00:38
1d #219482	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	7h	0.101	0.010	71/71	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #191972	fresh	2026-10-23 02:45	0s	$0.259056	$0.262358	$0.250753	hvn	0.07	5.19
7d #192040	fresh	2026-10-23 02:00	0s	$0.258086	$0.290565	$0.249859	hvn	0.24	8.62
30d #191624	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	3h	$0.534964	$0.719720	$0.350208	between	-22.39	30.03

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.263558 → $0.268360	1.81%	2.15	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004338	-1.94

Prix observé : $0.259220. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.295761 → $0.302690	2.32%	1.47	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.036541	-7.73
below	$0.305288 → $0.313083	2.52%	1.65	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.046068	-9.75
below	$0.328672 → $0.334735	1.83%	1.28	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.069452	-14.70
below	$0.341664 → $0.346860	1.51%	1.10	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.082444	-17.45

Prix observé : $0.259220. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.433646 → $0.501191	14.45%	5.49	0.74	reversion	✓	↓ $0.174426	-14.18
below	$0.572710 → $0.604496	5.40%	2.58	0.66	reversion	✓	↓ $0.313490	-25.48
below	$0.679988 → $0.719720	5.68%	3.23	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.420768	-34.20

Prix observé : $0.259220. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T06:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T06:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}