Observation #50448

← Research Observations / #50448

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-23 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.257640

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,193,024

Synced: 10-23 12:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-23 10:00) Next (10-23 12:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.3696

evaluated_at: 2026-10-23 10:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000166

Settled at: 2026-10-23 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)80,490,052.00

OI (USD)$20,867,046

Mark price$0.259250

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,344,766

Snapshot at: 2026-10-23 10:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.008%

Change 4h +0.916%

Change 24h +0.839%

Z-score 7d 0.15

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 73.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +2.108%

Divergence -0.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.956

OI / Vol z-7d

0.07

OI momentum 4h

-0.305%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+761 crowded

Time: 2026-10-23 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393626	fresh	15h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 44%	—	—	—	0.40	9%	↓ -0.58	below_value	-2.38	inside	#190909	—	bull_high	+5.19%	-1.00	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:25	↗
4h #398065	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.520	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	early 10b -0.9ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	1.00	14%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+0.10	inside	#192776	0.31	bear_high	-1.02%	-0.62	23/10 04:00 upd 23/10 08:17	↗
1h anchor #399072	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.476	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early 1b 0.1ATR	near 0.2ATR	near -0.2ATR	1.20	64%	↔ +0.11	above_value	-0.18	—	#193236	0.51	range_medium	-0.57%	+0.21	23/10 10:00 upd 23/10 11:10	↗
15m #399006	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	0.756	volatile_reversal	range_high	33%	noisy_chop 40%	early 2b 0.1ATR	near -0.2ATR	near -0.8ATR	0.21	5%	↑ +0.29	above_value	-0.14	—	#193106	0.66	range_low	-0.06%	+0.11	23/10 10:45 upd 23/10 11:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #220701	fresh	2026-10-23 10:00	0s	0.500	0.443	52/64	2026-10-23 11:00	2026-10-23 11:36
4h #220506	fresh	2026-10-23 04:00	3h	0.376	0.308	59/66	2026-10-23 08:00	2026-10-23 08:38
1d #219482	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	15h	0.101	0.010	71/71	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #193171	fresh	2026-10-23 10:45	0s	$0.258994	$0.261001	$0.251486	hvn	-0.49	3.42
7d #193236	fresh	2026-10-23 10:00	0s	$0.258550	$0.287973	$0.250922	hvn	-0.18	7.26
30d #192842	fresh	2026-10-23 04:00	3h	$0.537232	$0.704580	$0.350648	between	-24.52	30.47

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Aucune zone LVN détectée dans le snapshot 24h.

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.295238 → $0.303230	2.67%	1.57	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.037598	-7.37
below	$0.304683 → $0.314127	3.05%	1.85	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.047043	-9.22
below	$0.325751 → $0.330110	1.33%	0.85	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.068111	-13.35

Prix observé : $0.257640. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.435284 → $0.496838	13.21%	5.30	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.177644	-15.29
below	$0.577626 → $0.600709	3.92%	1.99	0.69	reversion	✓	↓ $0.319986	-27.54
below	$0.673803 → $0.704580	4.47%	2.65	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.416163	-35.82

Prix observé : $0.257640. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T14:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T14:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}