Observation #50754

← Research Observations / #50754

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-23 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.7517

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,454,794

Synced: 10-23 17:01 +1h

← Prev (10-23 15:00) Next (10-23 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1135

evaluated_at: 2026-10-23 15:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000683%

Annualized5.98%

Premium-0.00044536

Settled at: 2026-10-23 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,959,088.40

OI (USD)$8,699,828

Mark price$1.7543

Funding next0.000648%

Day vol (USD)$1,419,140

Snapshot at: 2026-10-23 15:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.126%

Change 4h -0.292%

Change 24h -1.114%

Z-score 7d 0.24

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000662%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h +0.000597%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.537%

Divergence -1.65

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.133

OI / Vol z-7d

0.77

OI momentum 4h

+0.019%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-23 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 155 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393584	fresh	20h	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.452	compression	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 42%	late 54b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.71	22%	↔ -0.12	value	-3.80	—	#190889	0.48	bull_high	+5.19%	-0.92	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:23	↗
4h #400836	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.609	expansion	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 45%	early 6b -0.5ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.28	7%	↓ -0.54	value	-2.21	inside	#193929	0.67	bear_high	-1.53%	+0.33	23/10 12:00 upd 23/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #400835	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 4b -1.3ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.33	20%	↓ -0.46	value	-2.21	—	#193929	0.69	bear_medium	-1.10%	+0.11	23/10 15:00 upd 23/10 16:14	↗
15m #400720	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.458	compression	bear_medium	55%	noisy_chop 44%	late 16b -2.6ATR	near -1.5ATR	—	0.49	36%	↓ -0.24	value	-1.19	—	#193794	0.66	range_low	-0.58%	-0.14	23/10 15:45 upd 23/10 16:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #221068	fresh	2026-10-23 15:00	0s	0.427	0.397	59/68	2026-10-23 16:00
4h #221135	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	0s	0.456	0.382	37/68	2026-10-23 16:00
1d #219463	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	20h	0.240	0.160	65/71	2026-10-22 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #193861	fresh	2026-10-23 15:45	0s	$1.7814	$1.8003	$1.7584	between	-3.71	5.24
7d #193929	fresh	2026-10-23 15:00	0s	$1.7921	$1.8107	$1.6948	value	-2.21	6.33
30d #193997	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	0s	$2.0523	$2.1541	$1.8661	between	-7.47	7.55

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7398 → $1.7488	0.51%	1.12	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002950	+0.37
below	$1.7598 → $1.7653	0.31%	0.69	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.008050	-1.01
below	$1.7969 → $1.8010	0.23%	0.52	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.045175	-5.65

Prix observé : $1.7517. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6576 → $1.6707	0.79%	0.72	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.080980	+4.43
below	$1.8172 → $1.8391	1.20%	1.20	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.065527	-3.58
below	$1.8631 → $1.8741	0.59%	0.60	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.111447	-6.09
below	$1.9003 → $1.9200	1.03%	1.08	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.148620	-8.12

Prix observé : $1.7517. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6576 → $1.6973	2.37%	1.04	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.054380	+1.43
below	$2.1591 → $2.2534	4.28%	2.47	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.407365	-10.69

Prix observé : $1.7517. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T19:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T19:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}