Observation #50827

← Research Observations / #50827

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.077617

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,938,752

Synced: 10-23 18:02 +1h

← Prev (10-23 16:00) Next (10-23 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0903

evaluated_at: 2026-10-23 16:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00004407

Settled at: 2026-10-23 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)734,303,546.00

OI (USD)$57,002,516

Mark price$0.077628

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,699,280

Snapshot at: 2026-10-23 16:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.006%

Change 4h -0.091%

Change 24h +0.471%

Z-score 7d 0.05

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 99.4% top

Percentile 30d 89.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.996%

Divergence -0.53

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

13.780

OI / Vol z-7d

3.30 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.043%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+121 crowded

Time: 2026-10-23 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393597	fresh	21h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.394	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late 27b -1.3ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.60	39%	↔ -0.14	value	-2.92	—	#190895	0.54	bull_high	+5.19%	-0.94	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:24	↗
4h #400850	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.531	normal	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 12b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.27	4%	↓ -0.41	above_value	-0.96	—	#193936	0.57	bear_high	-1.53%	+0.27	23/10 12:00 upd 23/10 16:15	↗
1h anchor #401216	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.520	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 35%	early 6b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.95	36%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-0.70	—	#194140	0.60	bear_medium	-0.93%	+0.20	23/10 16:00 upd 23/10 17:10	↗
15m #401147	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.414	compression	range_medium	43%	noisy_chop 39%	early 5b -0.6ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	4.09	83%	↑ +0.19	above_value	-0.96	—	#193936	0.72	range_low	-0.38%	-0.07	23/10 16:45 upd 23/10 17:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #221210	fresh	2026-10-23 16:00	0s	0.492	0.482	36/67	2026-10-23 17:00	2026-10-23 17:36
4h #221141	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	1h	0.461	0.390	33/68	2026-10-23 16:00	2026-10-23 16:38
1d #219468	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	21h	0.204	0.135	69/71	2026-10-22 20:00	2026-10-22 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #194072	fresh	2026-10-23 16:45	0s	$0.078546	$0.078880	$0.077447	value	-2.11	3.25
7d #194140	fresh	2026-10-23 16:00	0s	$0.078299	$0.080303	$0.075036	hvn	-0.70	5.42
30d #194004	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	1h	$0.096445	$0.120470	$0.088730	between	-8.75	15.04

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076428 → $0.076715	0.37%	0.65	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000902	+2.04
above	$0.076778 → $0.077160	0.50%	0.87	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000457	+1.04

Prix observé : $0.077617. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072860 → $0.073776	1.25%	0.94	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003841	+3.95
below	$0.084539 → $0.086600	2.41%	2.12	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006922	-7.12

Prix observé : $0.077617. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072860 → $0.076387	4.73%	1.67	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001230	+0.58
below	$0.088730 → $0.090493	1.97%	0.84	0.41	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.011113	-5.27
below	$0.117825 → $0.125760	6.52%	3.76	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.040208	-19.06

Prix observé : $0.077617. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T20:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T20:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}