Observation #50928

← Research Observations / #50928

🪙 AAVE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AAVE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-23 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$143.15

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,561,528

Synced: 10-23 20:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-23 18:00) Next (10-23 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AAVE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0272

evaluated_at: 2026-10-23 18:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000066%

Annualized0.58%

Premium-0.00049469

Settled at: 2026-10-23 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)398,119.46

OI (USD)$56,660,362

Mark price$142.32

Funding next0.000120%

Day vol (USD)$4,328,438

Snapshot at: 2026-10-23 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.023%

Change 4h -0.031%

Change 24h -0.053%

Z-score 7d -0.07

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000771%

Avg 24h 0.000510%

Percentile 7d 50.0%

Percentile 30d 21.7%

Δ 4h +0.000016%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.877%

Divergence -1.83

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

15.206

OI / Vol z-7d

2.11 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.148%

Funding +ratio 24h

72.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-23 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393510	fresh	23h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.654	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 20b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.91	52%	↓ -0.27	value	-0.80	—	#190858	0.69	bull_high	+5.19%	-0.93	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:19	↗
4h #400780	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.608	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 12b -1.1ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	0.37	8%	↓ -0.48	value	-1.27	—	#193901	0.67	bear_high	-1.53%	-0.11	23/10 12:00 upd 23/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #401871	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.741	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 40%	late 5b -2.5ATR	—	—	4.97	92%	↑ +0.27	below_value	-2.71	inside	#194373	0.80	bear_medium	-1.59%	-0.27	23/10 18:00 upd 23/10 19:08	↗
15m #401804	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.604	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	49%	choppy 49%	late 7b -3.8ATR	—	—	11.57	99%	↑ +0.59	above_value	-0.74	—	#194238	0.77	bear_low_confirmed	-1.02%	-0.24	23/10 18:45 upd 23/10 19:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #221307	fresh	2026-10-23 18:00	0s	0.534	0.303	33/68	2026-10-23 19:00
4h #221107	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	3h	0.426	0.348	46/68	2026-10-23 16:00
1d #219431	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	23h	0.337	0.325	35/71	2026-10-22 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #194305	fresh	2026-10-23 18:45	0s	$147.76	$149.06	$146.11	lvn LVN	-4.91	3.14
7d #194373	fresh	2026-10-23 18:00	0s	$147.85	$154.25	$145.72	lvn LVN	-2.71	4.91
30d #193969	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	3h	$166.37	$174.08	$146.77	value	-5.61	7.85

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$141.62 → $144.15	1.77%	2.69	0.60	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$144.85 → $145.97	0.77%	1.20	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↓ $1.6977	-1.81

Prix observé : $143.15. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$141.62 → $145.25	2.53%	2.09	0.87	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$159.46 → $160.56	0.69%	0.64	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $16.3052	-9.40

Prix observé : $143.15. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$134.88 → $145.45	7.54%	3.04	0.81	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$185.09 → $187.73	1.42%	0.76	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $41.9375	-12.05

Prix observé : $143.15. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T22:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}