Observation #50952

← Research Observations / #50952

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-23 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.007643

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,914,238

Synced: 10-23 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-23 18:00) Next (10-23 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0272

evaluated_at: 2026-10-23 18:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00013017

Settled at: 2026-10-23 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)939,450,752.00

OI (USD)$7,156,736

Mark price$0.007618

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,916,425

Snapshot at: 2026-10-23 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.850%

Change 4h -1.438%

Change 24h +0.737%

Z-score 7d -0.63

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 95.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -4.439%

Divergence -2.59 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.278

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.14

OI momentum 4h

-2.787%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+108 crowded

Time: 2026-10-23 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #393575	fresh	23h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.663	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 29b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.29	13%	↓ -0.42	above_value	+2.27	—	#190885	0.73	bull_high	+5.19%	-0.75	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 20:23	↗
4h #400830	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.667	expansion	bear_high	68%	noisy_chop 43%	early 6b 0.3ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.49	14%	↓ -0.51	value	+3.58	—	#193926	0.63	bear_high	-1.53%	+0.55	23/10 12:00 upd 23/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #401895	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.476	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 43%	late 6b -2.2ATR	—	—	2.38	90%	↑ +0.43	above_value	+0.64	—	#194397	0.73	bear_medium	-1.59%	-0.24	23/10 18:00 upd 23/10 19:09	↗
15m #401828	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.673	normal	bear_medium_confirmed	62%	ranging_calm 58%	late 2b -4.2ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	2.83	97%	↑ +0.76	above_value	+2.28	—	#194262	0.56	bear_low_confirmed	-1.02%	-0.35	23/10 18:45 upd 23/10 19:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #221331	fresh	2026-10-23 18:00	0s	0.559	0.349	19/68	2026-10-23 19:00
4h #221132	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	3h	0.507	0.474	20/68	2026-10-23 16:00
1d #219459	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	23h	0.288	0.282	53/71	2026-10-22 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #194329	fresh	2026-10-23 18:45	0s	$0.007889	$0.008069	$0.007804	lvn LVN	-4.08	4.39
7d #194397	fresh	2026-10-23 18:00	0s	$0.007564	$0.007986	$0.007413	hvn	0.64	4.66
30d #193994	fresh	2026-10-23 12:00	3h	$0.009765	$0.010495	$0.008190	between	-8.77	11.42

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.007580 → $0.007710	1.70%	2.15	0.75	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.008173 → $0.008204	0.38%	0.52	0.93	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000530	-8.83

Prix observé : $0.007643. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007053 → $0.007244	2.67%	1.55	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000399	+3.24
above	$0.007255 → $0.007334	1.08%	0.64	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000309	+2.50
below	$0.008335 → $0.008402	0.81%	0.55	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000692	-5.66

Prix observé : $0.007643. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007053 → $0.007345	4.06%	1.45	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000298	+1.48
below	$0.008709 → $0.008872	1.85%	0.80	0.62	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001066	-5.26
below	$0.010430 → $0.010950	4.86%	2.57	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002787	-13.79

Prix observé : $0.007643. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T22:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-23T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}