Observation #51450

← Research Observations / #51450

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-24 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.075842

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,867,353

Synced: 10-24 03:02 +1h

← Prev (10-24 01:00) Next (10-24 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.2288

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 01:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000267

Settled at: 2026-10-24 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)732,264,900.00

OI (USD)$55,523,986

Mark price$0.075825

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,111,810

Snapshot at: 2026-10-24 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.048%

Change 4h -0.275%

Change 24h -0.456%

Z-score 7d 0.12

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 99.4% top

Percentile 30d 89.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.038%

Divergence 0.27

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

10.793

OI / Vol z-7d

1.52

OI momentum 4h

-0.242%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+130 crowded

Time: 2026-10-24 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #402453	fresh	6h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.394	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	late 28b -1.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.44	26%	↓ -0.21	value	-2.62	—	#194544	0.54	bull_high	+4.80%	-0.95	22/10 20:00 upd 23/10 20:23	↗
4h #403887	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.509	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 14b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.45	11%	↓ -0.25	above_value	-2.27	inside	#195168	0.57	bear_high	-1.84%	-0.07	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 00:15	↗
1h anchor #404614	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.418	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 34%	early 6b -0.9ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.43	23%	↔ -0.03	above_value	-2.43	—	#195513	0.61	bear_medium	-1.49%	-0.17	24/10 01:00 upd 24/10 02:11	↗
15m #404543	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.399	compression	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b -0.7ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	1.44	51%	↓ -0.37	above_value	-1.86	—	#195375	0.73	range_low	-0.66%	+0.07	24/10 01:45 upd 24/10 02:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #222028	fresh	2026-10-24 01:00	0s	0.469	0.391	36/69	2026-10-24 02:00	2026-10-24 02:36
4h #221889	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	2h	0.427	0.335	44/68	2026-10-24 00:00	2026-10-24 00:38
1d #221544	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	6h	0.254	0.226	63/67	2026-10-23 20:00	2026-10-23 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #195444	fresh	2026-10-24 01:45	0s	$0.078482	$0.079071	$0.075621	hvn	-7.01	9.16
7d #195513	fresh	2026-10-24 01:00	0s	$0.078299	$0.080074	$0.075036	hvn	-2.43	4.82
30d #195237	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	2h	$0.096445	$0.120470	$0.088289	between	-9.10	14.42

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.076230 → $0.076838	0.80%	1.62	0.64	reversion	✓	↓ $0.000388	-1.03
below	$0.077123 → $0.077488	0.47%	0.97	0.53	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001281	-3.40

Prix observé : $0.075842. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072860 → $0.073890	1.40%	0.99	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001952	+1.87
below	$0.084424 → $0.086600	2.54%	2.08	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008582	-8.21

Prix observé : $0.075842. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.072860 → $0.075946	4.15%	1.38	0.75	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.088730 → $0.090934	2.45%	0.99	0.46	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.012888	-5.78
below	$0.117825 → $0.125760	6.52%	3.56	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.041983	-18.81

Prix observé : $0.075842. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T05:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}