Observation #51605

← Research Observations / #51605

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-24 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.233910

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,883,961

Synced: 10-24 05:02 +1h

← Prev (10-24 03:00) Next (10-24 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1282

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 03:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00008655

Settled at: 2026-10-24 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)80,692,298.00

OI (USD)$18,907,012

Mark price$0.234310

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,977,128

Snapshot at: 2026-10-24 03:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.031%

Change 4h +0.061%

Change 24h +2.459%

Z-score 7d 0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 73.5%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -3.119%

Divergence -1.18

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.549

OI / Vol z-7d

0.59

OI momentum 4h

-1.113%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+778 crowded

Time: 2026-10-24 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #402482	fresh	8h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 43%	—	—	—	0.33	2%	↓ -0.62	below_value	-3.42	inside	#194558	—	bull_high	+4.80%	-1.00	22/10 20:00 upd 23/10 20:24	↗
4h #405434	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.758	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 47%	late 15b -2.4ATR	—	—	0.70	6%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-5.38	inside	#195807	0.35	bear_high	-2.09%	-0.89	24/10 00:00 upd 24/10 04:17	↗
1h anchor #405432	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.628	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 3b -2.2ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.84	33%	↔ +0.10	below_value	-5.38	inside	#195807	0.52	bear_medium	-1.47%	-0.70	24/10 03:00 upd 24/10 04:17	↗
15m #405279	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.505	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	late 15b -2.5ATR	—	—	0.09	1%	↑ +0.30	below_value	-4.72	—	#195667	0.65	range_low	-0.60%	-0.26	24/10 03:45 upd 24/10 04:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #222180	fresh	2026-10-24 03:00	0s	0.354	0.105	67/70	2026-10-24 04:00
4h #222249	fresh	2026-10-24 00:00	0s	0.219	0.066	69/70	2026-10-24 04:00
1d #221558	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	8h	0.133	0.031	67/67	2026-10-23 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #195737	fresh	2026-10-24 03:45	0s	$0.257576	$0.260552	$0.240791	lvn LVN	-13.35	11.15
7d #195807	fresh	2026-10-24 03:00	0s	$0.259076	$0.282352	$0.245111	lvn LVN	-5.38	8.00
30d #195877	fresh	2026-10-24 00:00	0s	$0.537250	$0.669480	$0.343433	lvn LVN	-27.08	29.30

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.232220 → $0.234601	1.02%	1.34	0.78	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.243410 → $0.246505	1.26%	1.75	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.009500	-5.36
below	$0.250791 → $0.252219	0.57%	0.81	0.84	reversion	✓	↓ $0.016881	-9.53

Prix observé : $0.233910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.232220 → $0.235801	1.53%	0.77	0.89	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.296675 → $0.302404	1.91%	1.23	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.062765	-13.49
below	$0.305985 → $0.318160	3.90%	2.62	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.072075	-15.49

Prix observé : $0.233910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.234750 → $0.245618	4.53%	0.98	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.000840	-0.08
below	$0.434001 → $0.495588	13.25%	5.53	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.200091	-17.98
below	$0.578911 → $0.604270	4.29%	2.28	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.345001	-31.00
below	$0.658612 → $0.669480	1.64%	0.98	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.424702	-38.16

Prix observé : $0.233910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T07:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T07:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}