Observation #51806

← Research Observations / #51806

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-24 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.074733

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,476,171

Synced: 10-24 08:02 +1h

← Prev (10-24 06:00) Next (10-24 08:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0719

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 06:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00001508

Settled at: 2026-10-24 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)731,634,894.00

OI (USD)$54,605,570

Mark price$0.074635

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,476,425

Snapshot at: 2026-10-24 06:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.115%

Change 4h -0.106%

Change 24h -0.291%

Z-score 7d -0.19

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 99.4% top

Percentile 30d 89.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.242%

Divergence -0.56

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

11.539

OI / Vol z-7d

1.70

OI momentum 4h

-0.068%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+135 crowded

Time: 2026-10-24 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #402453	fresh	11h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.394	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	late 28b -1.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.44	26%	↓ -0.21	value	-2.62	—	#194544	0.54	bull_high	+4.80%	-0.95	22/10 20:00 upd 23/10 20:23	↗
4h #405392	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.506	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 15b -1.4ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.20	2%	↓ -0.42	value	-3.21	inside	#195793	0.55	bear_high	-2.09%	-0.20	24/10 00:00 upd 24/10 04:15	↗
1h anchor #406500	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.502	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 7b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.36	15%	↓ -0.39	below_value	-3.76	inside	#196287	0.61	bear_medium	-1.46%	-0.29	24/10 06:00 upd 24/10 07:10	↗
15m #406428	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.355	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 45%	early 5b -0.5ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.42	41%	↑ +0.63	below_value	-4.26	—	#196145	0.74	range_low	-0.52%	-0.13	24/10 06:45 upd 24/10 07:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #222448	fresh	2026-10-24 06:00	0s	0.447	0.349	49/71	2026-10-24 07:00	2026-10-24 07:36
4h #222235	fresh	2026-10-24 00:00	3h	0.380	0.283	43/70	2026-10-24 04:00	2026-10-24 04:38
1d #221544	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	11h	0.254	0.226	63/67	2026-10-23 20:00	2026-10-23 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #196216	fresh	2026-10-24 06:45	0s	$0.075745	$0.077111	$0.073857	value	-2.79	8.98
7d #196287	fresh	2026-10-24 06:00	0s	$0.078299	$0.080074	$0.075036	between	-3.76	5.32
30d #195863	fresh	2026-10-24 00:00	3h	$0.096445	$0.120911	$0.088289	lvn LVN	-9.79	15.31

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.073857 → $0.074204	0.47%	0.96	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000529	+1.46
below	$0.076287 → $0.076808	0.68%	1.44	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001554	-4.29
below	$0.077242 → $0.077459	0.28%	0.60	0.47	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.002509	-6.92
below	$0.078847 → $0.079064	0.27%	0.60	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004114	-11.35

Prix observé : $0.074733. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072860 → $0.073776	1.25%	0.97	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000957	+1.01
below	$0.084424 → $0.086600	2.54%	2.30	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009691	-10.22

Prix observé : $0.074733. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.072860 → $0.075946	4.15%	1.45	0.74	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.088730 → $0.090934	2.45%	1.03	0.48	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.013997	-6.57
below	$0.117825 → $0.125760	6.52%	3.72	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.043092	-20.22

Prix observé : $0.074733. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T10:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T10:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}