Observation #52121

← Research Observations / #52121

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-24 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.165830

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $9,296,619

Synced: 10-24 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-24 11:00) Next (10-24 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0926

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 11:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001006%

Annualized8.81%

Premium-0.00041956

Settled at: 2026-10-24 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)96,053,636.60

OI (USD)$15,851,732

Mark price$0.165030

Funding next0.000802%

Day vol (USD)$9,083,497

Snapshot at: 2026-10-24 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.542%

Change 4h -0.228%

Change 24h -8.875%

Z-score 7d -0.46

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000170%

Avg 24h 0.000899%

Percentile 7d 8.3%

Percentile 30d 21.1%

Δ 4h -0.000611%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.864%

Divergence -0.73

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.023

OI / Vol z-7d

0.93

OI momentum 4h

+0.634%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+10 crowded

Time: 2026-10-24 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #402345	fresh	16h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.672	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 30b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.64	74%	↑ +0.25	below_value	-7.87	—	#194499	0.58	bull_high	+4.80%	-0.82	22/10 20:00 upd 23/10 20:17	↗
4h #408395	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.589	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 47%	late 27b -2.4ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	1.08	53%	↓ -0.52	below_value	-12.75	—	#197034	0.50	bear_high_confirmed	-3.11%	-0.76	24/10 08:00 upd 24/10 12:12	↗
1h anchor #408394	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.611	normal	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 45%	late 12b -2.6ATR	—	—	3.02	89%	↓ -0.44	below_value	-12.75	inside	#197034	0.71	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.35%	-0.45	24/10 11:00 upd 24/10 12:12	↗
15m #408314	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.406	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 2b -1.2ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.33	44%	↑ +0.92	below_value	-12.11	—	#196888	0.72	bear_low_confirmed	-1.29%	-0.07	24/10 11:45 upd 24/10 12:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #222833	fresh	2026-10-24 11:00	0s	0.525	0.203	39/74	2026-10-24 12:00	2026-10-24 12:35
4h #222906	fresh	2026-10-24 08:00	0s	0.346	0.162	60/74	2026-10-24 12:00	2026-10-24 12:37
1d #221500	fresh	2026-10-22 20:00	16h	0.243	0.280	64/67	2026-10-23 20:00	2026-10-23 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #196960	fresh	2026-10-24 11:45	0s	$0.168630	$0.172452	$0.164964	value	-2.21	5.92
7d #197034	fresh	2026-10-24 11:00	0s	$0.198284	$0.200465	$0.182348	lvn LVN	-12.75	7.12
30d #197108	fresh	2026-10-24 08:00	0s	$0.202147	$0.208765	$0.179139	lvn LVN	-6.07	4.94

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.174324 → $0.176196	1.07%	1.48	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008494	-6.71
below	$0.179784 → $0.182280	1.38%	1.97	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013954	-11.03

Prix observé : $0.165830. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.163560 → $0.166915	2.03%	1.32	0.82	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.171948 → $0.175638	2.12%	1.45	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.006118	-2.40
below	$0.201136 → $0.203820	1.33%	1.05	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.035306	-13.87

Prix observé : $0.165830. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.161490 → $0.172206	6.42%	1.79	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.229566 → $0.237130	3.24%	1.26	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.063736	-10.63

Prix observé : $0.165830. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T15:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}