Observation #53022

← Research Observations / #53022

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.007593

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,090,907

Synced: 10-25 01:01 +1h

← Prev (10-24 23:00) Next (10-25 01:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 12h

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00004557

Settled at: 2026-10-25 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)874,419,566.00

OI (USD)$6,647,338

Mark price$0.007602

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,107,651

Snapshot at: 2026-10-24 23:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.011%

Change 4h +0.166%

Change 24h -4.844%

Z-score 7d 0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001150%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 95.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.641%

Divergence -0.84

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.167

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.57

OI momentum 4h

+0.056%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+137 crowded

Time: 2026-10-24 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411793	fresh	4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.676	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 31b -0.7ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.52	35%	↓ -0.64	above_value	+1.63	—	#198393	0.73	bull_high	+4.29%	-0.92	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:21	↗
4h #413249	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.523	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 45%	early 9b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.49	10%	↑ +0.23	above_value	+1.24	—	#199025	0.62	bear_high	-1.74%	-0.40	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 00:14	↗
1h anchor #413248	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.381	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 3b -0.3ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.17	24%	↓ -0.47	above_value	+1.24	—	#199025	0.74	bear_medium	-0.79%	-0.13	24/10 23:00 upd 25/10 00:14	↗
15m #413136	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.609	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b -0.3ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.18	25%	↓ -0.68	above_value	+0.92	—	#198887	0.65	range_low	+0.16%	+0.01	24/10 23:45 upd 25/10 00:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #224025	fresh	2026-10-24 23:00	0s	0.462	0.416	50/70	2026-10-25 00:00
4h #224094	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	0s	0.474	0.417	28/70	2026-10-25 00:00
1d #223742	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	4h	0.280	0.292	54/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #198956	fresh	2026-10-24 23:45	0s	$0.007639	$0.007724	$0.007458	value	-1.58	9.09
7d #199025	fresh	2026-10-24 23:00	0s	$0.007486	$0.007975	$0.007424	hvn	1.24	6.36
30d #199094	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	0s	$0.009960	$0.010495	$0.008060	hvn	-11.42	11.70

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007506 → $0.007555	0.64%	1.65	0.74	reversion	✓	↑ $0.000038	+1.28
below	$0.007710 → $0.007765	0.71%	1.89	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000117	-4.02

Prix observé : $0.007593. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007053 → $0.007244	2.67%	2.21	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000349	+4.03
above	$0.007255 → $0.007334	1.08%	0.91	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000259	+2.98
below	$0.008335 → $0.008402	0.81%	0.78	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000742	-8.62

Prix observé : $0.007593. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007053 → $0.007313	3.62%	1.25	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000280	+1.34
below	$0.008709 → $0.008904	2.21%	0.94	0.58	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001116	-5.36
below	$0.010430 → $0.010950	4.86%	2.50	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002837	-13.62

Prix observé : $0.007593. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 43112,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T03:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}