Observation #53120

← Research Observations / #53120

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$80,572.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,148,711,821

Synced: 10-25 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-25 01:00) Next (10-25 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 14h

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001149%

Annualized10.07%

Premium-0.00040805

Settled at: 2026-10-25 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)42,578.83

OI (USD)$3,428,575,126

Mark price$80,523.00

Funding next0.001153%

Day vol (USD)$2,151,324,909

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.223%

Change 4h +0.300%

Change 24h -3.091%

Z-score 7d 0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001091%

Avg 24h 0.001213%

Percentile 7d 18.5%

Percentile 30d 34.9%

Δ 4h -0.000159%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.368%

Divergence -0.66

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.617

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.04

OI momentum 4h

+0.896%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+77 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411675	fresh	6h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.740	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	early 33b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.96	55%	↔ +0.06	value	-2.54	—	#198352	—	—	—	—	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:15	↗
4h #413165	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.362	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 49%	early 3b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.28	13%	↓ -0.43	value	-2.76	—	#198843	—	—	—	—	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #413951	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.441	compression	bear_low	49%	noisy_chop 32%	early 2b -0.5ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.39	33%	↓ -0.46	value	-2.92	—	#199191	—	—	—	—	25/10 01:00 upd 25/10 02:05	↗
15m #413880	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.573	normal	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 47%	late 10b -2.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.60	61%	↓ -0.37	value	-2.92	—	#199191	—	—	—	—	25/10 01:45 upd 25/10 02:00	↗
5m #413879	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.263	volatile_reversal	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 59%	late 2b -3.0ATR	—	—	2.15	67%	↑ +0.83	value	-2.92	—	#199191	—	—	—	—	25/10 01:55 upd 25/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #224193	fresh	2026-10-25 01:00	0s	0.509	0.461	14/70	2026-10-25 02:00
4h #224052	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	2h	0.494	0.452	20/70	2026-10-25 00:00
1d #223701	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	6h	0.498	0.467	10/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #199261	fresh	2026-10-25 01:45	0s	$80,594.63	$80,663.25	$79,565.25	hvn	-0.24	11.52
7d #199331	fresh	2026-10-25 01:00	0s	$81,804.53	$83,008.55	$80,742.15	between	-4.07	7.48
30d #199052	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	2h	$83,511.41	$84,417.15	$81,129.66	between	-3.40	4.32

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,184.00 → $79,504.25	0.40%	3.36	0.43	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,067.75	+11.20
above	$79,900.75 → $80,053.25	0.19%	1.60	0.27	continuation_down	—	↑ $518.75	+5.44
below	$80,907.25 → $81,014.00	0.13%	1.12	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $335.25	-3.52

Prix observé : $80,572.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,184.00 → $79,986.68	1.01%	2.65	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $585.32	+1.93
below	$83,669.58 → $84,094.53	0.51%	1.40	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,097.58	-10.22

Prix observé : $80,572.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,184.00 → $80,458.74	1.60%	1.67	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $113.26	+0.15
below	$86,496.99 → $87,235.00	0.85%	0.97	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,924.99	-7.78

Prix observé : $80,572.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 50312,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}