Observation #53136

← Research Observations / #53136

🪙 AAVE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AAVE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$136.91

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $9,042,613

Synced: 10-25 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-25 01:00) Next (10-25 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AAVE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 14h

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00028673

Settled at: 2026-10-25 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)383,470.88

OI (USD)$52,398,957

Mark price$136.64

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$8,997,451

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.004%

Change 4h +0.145%

Change 24h -3.821%

Z-score 7d 0.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000946%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.530%

Divergence -0.40

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.863

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.68

OI momentum 4h

+0.150%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+15 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411739	fresh	6h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.659	normal	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 22b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.91	48%	↓ -0.31	below_value	-6.57	inside	#198368	0.69	bull_high	+4.29%	-0.96	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:19	↗
4h #413197	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.485	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 54%	late 20b -1.9ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.35	5%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.02	—	#198999	0.68	bear_high	-1.74%	-0.72	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 00:12	↗
1h anchor #413967	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.494	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 6b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.16	6%	↓ -0.78	below_value	-8.28	—	#199347	0.80	bear_low	-1.07%	-0.23	25/10 01:00 upd 25/10 02:09	↗
15m #413896	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.473	compression	bear_low	43%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 13b -1.7ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.70	20%	↓ -0.54	below_value	-7.64	—	#199207	0.77	range_low	-0.17%	-0.03	25/10 01:45 upd 25/10 02:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #224209	fresh	2026-10-25 01:00	0s	0.440	0.342	49/70	2026-10-25 02:00
4h #224068	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	2h	0.408	0.284	53/70	2026-10-25 00:00
1d #223717	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	6h	0.297	0.262	47/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #199277	fresh	2026-10-25 01:45	0s	$135.33	$138.63	$133.89	value	3.58	10.71
7d #199347	fresh	2026-10-25 01:00	0s	$147.34	$157.00	$145.45	between	-8.28	9.18
30d #199068	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	2h	$165.97	$173.82	$146.90	lvn LVN	-8.04	7.68

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$138.32 → $138.71	0.28%	0.88	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $1.4070	-3.18
below	$138.78 → $139.02	0.17%	0.53	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $1.8730	-4.23
below	$141.50 → $143.21	1.20%	3.86	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4.5913	-10.38

Prix observé : $136.91. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$137.89 → $139.89	1.44%	1.59	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.980500	-0.78
below	$141.00 → $144.34	2.34%	2.65	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↓ $4.0920	-3.25
below	$159.89 → $160.56	0.42%	0.53	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $22.9833	-18.26

Prix observé : $136.91. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$133.89 → $145.11	8.04%	3.20	0.87	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$185.49 → $187.73	1.20%	0.64	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $48.5767	-13.86

Prix observé : $136.91. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 50312,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}