Observation #53196

← Research Observations / #53196

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.165400

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,812,746

Synced: 10-25 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-25 02:00) Next (10-25 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 15h

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00036220

Settled at: 2026-10-25 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)95,390,738.60

OI (USD)$15,762,366

Mark price$0.165240

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,918,450

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.215%

Change 4h -0.039%

Change 24h -3.107%

Z-score 7d -0.20

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001103%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.886%

Divergence -0.79

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.196

OI / Vol z-7d

2.95 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.300%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+25 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411699	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.677	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 31b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.54	70%	↔ +0.10	below_value	-12.66	—	#198358	0.58	bull_high	+4.29%	-0.83	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:17	↗
4h #413177	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.463	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late 30b -1.6ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.32	2%	↓ -0.63	below_value	-14.76	—	#198989	0.50	bear_high	-1.74%	-0.80	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 00:11	↗
1h anchor #414320	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.515	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 44%	late 6b -1.9ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.56	12%	↓ -0.39	below_value	-16.96	inside	#199477	0.71	bear_low	-1.19%	-0.18	25/10 02:00 upd 25/10 03:08	↗
15m #414249	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.569	normal	bear_medium	57%	choppy 51%	late 24b -3.4ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	1.75	65%	↑ +0.30	below_value	-16.33	—	#199337	0.73	range_low	-0.30%	-0.22	25/10 02:45 upd 25/10 03:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #224269	fresh	2026-10-25 02:00	0s	0.403	0.317	60/70	2026-10-25 03:00	2026-10-25 03:35
4h #224058	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	3h	0.367	0.240	60/70	2026-10-25 00:00	2026-10-25 00:37
1d #223707	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	7h	0.266	0.302	60/69	2026-10-24 20:00	2026-10-24 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #199407	fresh	2026-10-25 02:45	0s	$0.168741	$0.169302	$0.165276	hvn	-5.15	6.20
7d #199477	fresh	2026-10-25 02:00	0s	$0.198284	$0.200465	$0.182348	lvn LVN	-16.96	9.34
30d #199058	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	3h	$0.202147	$0.208765	$0.179770	lvn LVN	-6.04	5.19

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.169500 → $0.170094	0.35%	0.91	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004100	-6.31
below	$0.170292 → $0.171480	0.70%	1.83	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004892	-7.53

Prix observé : $0.165400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.163560 → $0.166244	1.63%	1.38	0.73	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.171612 → $0.175974	2.51%	2.25	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.006212	-3.20
below	$0.200800 → $0.203820	1.49%	1.56	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.035400	-18.26

Prix observé : $0.165400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.161490 → $0.169684	4.95%	1.47	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.213808 → $0.218220	2.04%	0.79	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.048408	-8.67
below	$0.230827 → $0.237130	2.69%	1.13	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.065427	-11.71

Prix observé : $0.165400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 53912,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}