Observation #5322

← Research Observations / #5322

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-09-28 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.009664

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,638,127

Synced: 09-28 16:02 +1h

← Prev (09-28 14:00) Next (09-28 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6618

evaluated_at: 2026-09-28 14:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00002514

Settled at: 2026-09-28 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,955,068,540.00

OI (USD)$18,909,423

Mark price$0.009672

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$11,748,770

Snapshot at: 2026-09-28 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.495%

Change 4h -5.653%

Change 24h -3.951%

Z-score 7d -0.23

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 63.1%

Percentile 30d 90.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.236%

Divergence 1.16

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.586

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.12

OI momentum 4h

-8.007%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+276 crowded

Time: 2026-09-28 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #156484	fresh	19h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.690	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 43%	late 12b 1.7ATR	—	—	1.46	91%	↑ +0.79	above_value	-0.33	—	#88075	0.73	bull_high	+14.58%	+0.86	26/09 20:00 upd 27/09 20:25	↗
4h #163175	fresh	3h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	moderate	fading	0.532	normal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 33%	early 6b -0.8ATR	—	—	2.12	94%	↑ +0.24	value	-2.58	—	#91037	0.57	bull_high	+1.73%	-0.03	28/09 08:00 upd 28/09 12:20	↗
1h anchor #164481	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.379	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 42%	early 3b -0.4ATR	near -0.4ATR	near -0.3ATR	0.10	6%	↔ +0.03	above_value	-1.85	—	#91660	0.47	range_medium	+0.07%	-0.37	28/09 14:00 upd 28/09 15:11	↗
15m #164397	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.406	expansion	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early 6b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.02	7%	↓ -0.93	above_value	-1.72	—	#91480	0.77	range_low	+0.48%	-0.34	28/09 14:45 upd 28/09 15:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #162763	fresh	2026-09-28 14:00	0s	0.440	0.384	70/89	2026-09-28 15:00	2026-09-28 15:36
4h #162493	fresh	2026-09-28 08:00	3h	0.552	0.551	41/89	2026-09-28 12:00	2026-09-28 12:39
1d #160849	fresh	2026-09-26 20:00	19h	0.677	0.889	31/78	2026-09-27 20:00	2026-09-27 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #91570	fresh	2026-09-28 14:45	0s	$0.009573	$0.010096	$0.009340	hvn	0.69	5.71
7d #91660	fresh	2026-09-28 14:00	0s	$0.010142	$0.010471	$0.009472	hvn	-1.85	3.86
30d #91124	fresh	2026-09-28 08:00	3h	$0.008675	$0.009971	$0.007380	value	1.87	5.82

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.009257 → $0.009371	1.22%	0.86	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.000293	+2.21
below	$0.010376 → $0.010500	1.19%	0.94	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000712	-5.39

Prix observé : $0.009664. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008622 → $0.008771	1.71%	0.58	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000893	+3.45
below	$0.010875 → $0.011173	2.70%	1.15	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001211	-4.67

Prix observé : $0.009664. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007117	6.54%	1.01	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002547	+5.71
below	$0.010572 → $0.011173	5.53%	1.35	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000908	-2.04

Prix observé : $0.009664. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T18:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}