Observation #53373

← Research Observations / #53373

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.071587

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,582,971

Synced: 10-25 06:02 +1h

← Prev (10-25 04:00) Next (10-25 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 17h

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00003279

Settled at: 2026-10-25 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)695,172,876.00

OI (USD)$49,761,170

Mark price$0.071581

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$8,723,204

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 04:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.059%

Change 4h -0.311%

Change 24h -5.128%

Z-score 7d -0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 99.4% top

Percentile 30d 91.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.037%

Divergence -1.47

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.901

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.58

OI momentum 4h

-0.001%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+157 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411817	fresh	9h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.387	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	late 29b -1.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.70	47%	↓ -0.30	value	-3.99	—	#198404	0.54	bull_high	+4.29%	-0.96	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:22	↗
4h #414780	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.500	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 48%	late 21b -1.6ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.25	2%	↓ -0.46	below_value	-7.32	inside	#199661	0.56	bear_high	-1.92%	-0.67	25/10 00:00 upd 25/10 04:15	↗
1h anchor #415147	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.513	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late 8b -3.3ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.59	62%	↓ -0.69	below_value	-8.38	inside	#199863	0.61	bear_low	-1.25%	-0.38	25/10 04:00 upd 25/10 05:10	↗
15m #415077	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.736	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	50%	choppy 54%	late 18b -3.5ATR	near -3.9ATR	—	3.27	88%	↑ +0.75	below_value	-7.32	—	#199661	0.74	range_low	-0.37%	-0.27	25/10 04:45 upd 25/10 05:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #224524	fresh	2026-10-25 04:00	0s	0.397	0.265	58/67	2026-10-25 05:00
4h #224456	fresh	2026-10-25 00:00	1h	0.379	0.242	56/70	2026-10-25 04:00
1d #223753	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	9h	0.206	0.123	67/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #199797	fresh	2026-10-25 04:45	0s	$0.072079	$0.073905	$0.071561	value	-1.53	7.30
7d #199863	fresh	2026-10-25 04:00	0s	$0.078400	$0.079800	$0.073267	between	-8.39	8.04
30d #199729	fresh	2026-10-25 00:00	1h	$0.096571	$0.122542	$0.086688	lvn LVN	-11.33	17.05

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.071253	0.92%	2.03	0.30	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.000334	+1.04
below	$0.074020 → $0.074366	0.47%	1.08	0.45	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.002433	-7.57
below	$0.074442 → $0.075211	1.03%	2.39	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002855	-8.88

Prix observé : $0.071587. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.071533	1.31%	1.15	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000054	+0.07
below	$0.084467 → $0.086600	2.49%	2.63	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012880	-15.85

Prix observé : $0.071587. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.070600 → $0.075197	6.31%	2.19	0.74	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.088987 → $0.090366	1.54%	0.66	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.017400	-8.27
below	$0.117946 → $0.125760	6.41%	3.72	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.046359	-22.04

Prix observé : $0.071587. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 61112,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T08:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}