Observation #53705

← Research Observations / #53705

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.236950

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,700,460

Synced: 10-25 11:02 +1h

← Prev (10-25 09:00) Next (10-25 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 22h

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00007749

Settled at: 2026-10-25 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)81,807,750.00

OI (USD)$19,373,711

Mark price$0.236820

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,094,628

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 09:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.317%

Change 4h +1.109%

Change 24h +2.063%

Z-score 7d 0.58

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 76.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +5.222%

Divergence 1.03

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.889

OI / Vol z-7d

0.16

OI momentum 4h

-0.180%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+808 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411848	fresh	14h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 43%	—	—	—	0.45	13%	↓ -0.64	below_value	-5.85	inside	#198419	—	bull_high	+4.29%	-1.00	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:24	↗
4h #416243	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.637	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 46%	late 22b -1.1ATR	—	—	1.22	27%	↓ -0.33	below_value	-8.66	inside	#200265	0.37	bear_high	-1.99%	-0.83	25/10 04:00 upd 25/10 08:16	↗
1h anchor #416902	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.645	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 4b 1.5ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	1.08	47%	↑ +0.53	below_value	-4.92	inside	#200585	0.54	bear_low	-1.15%	+0.40	25/10 09:00 upd 25/10 10:11	↗
15m #416837	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.837	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 50%	early 6b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.09	10%	↑ +0.37	below_value	-4.40	—	#200457	0.64	range_low	-0.25%	+0.45	25/10 09:45 upd 25/10 10:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #224926	fresh	2026-10-25 09:00	0s	0.586	0.504	7/64	2026-10-25 10:00
4h #224798	fresh	2026-10-25 04:00	2h	0.446	0.362	34/65	2026-10-25 08:00
1d #223768	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	14h	0.143	0.049	69/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #200521	fresh	2026-10-25 09:45	0s	$0.227404	$0.230062	$0.221595	between	3.88	3.44
7d #200585	fresh	2026-10-25 09:00	0s	$0.258262	$0.284517	$0.243307	lvn LVN	-4.92	9.71
30d #200329	fresh	2026-10-25 04:00	2h	$0.535932	$0.669480	$0.338431	between	-32.16	34.18

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.234985 → $0.236560	0.67%	0.64	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.000390	+0.16
below	$0.237348 → $0.241680	1.81%	1.76	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000398	-0.16

Prix observé : $0.236950. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.222038	1.81%	0.94	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.014912	+3.51
inside	$0.232673 → $0.243307	4.47%	2.51	0.58	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.292493 → $0.297810	1.80%	1.25	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.055543	-13.09

Prix observé : $0.236950. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.440003 → $0.496432	12.05%	5.83	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $0.203053	-20.97
below	$0.582956 → $0.613051	5.03%	3.11	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.346006	-35.73
below	$0.658194 → $0.669480	1.70%	1.17	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.421244	-43.49

Prix observé : $0.236950. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 79112,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T13:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}