Observation #53804

← Research Observations / #53804

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.6598

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,281,177

Synced: 10-25 13:01 +1h

← Prev (10-25 11:00) Next (10-25 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 24h

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00034323

Settled at: 2026-10-25 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,860,447.20

OI (USD)$8,074,661

Mark price$1.6613

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,376,645

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.048%

Change 4h -0.279%

Change 24h -1.989%

Z-score 7d -0.01

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000745%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.254%

Divergence 0.29

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.436

OI / Vol z-7d

1.26

OI momentum 4h

-0.610%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

+15 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411801	fresh	16h	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.573	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 44%	late 56b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.53	13%	↔ -0.14	above_value	-0.68	—	#198397	0.48	bull_high	+4.29%	-0.88	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:22	↗
4h #417573	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.717	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 12b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.65	17%	↔ -0.07	value	-2.23	inside	#200816	0.67	bear_high	-1.89%	-0.47	25/10 08:00 upd 25/10 12:13	↗
1h anchor #417572	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.484	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	early 6b -0.3ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.91	54%	↑ +0.38	value	-2.23	inside	#200816	0.67	bear_low	-0.81%	-0.05	25/10 11:00 upd 25/10 12:13	↗
15m #417469	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.600	expansion	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 46%	early 5b 1.3ATR	—	—	0.04	1%	↑ +0.23	below_value	-2.54	—	#200693	0.75	range_low	+0.07%	+0.09	25/10 11:45 upd 25/10 12:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #225030	fresh	2026-10-25 11:00	0s	0.522	0.449	34/60	2026-10-25 12:00
4h #225089	fresh	2026-10-25 08:00	0s	0.467	0.345	30/60	2026-10-25 12:00
1d #223746	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	16h	0.242	0.171	64/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #200755	fresh	2026-10-25 11:45	0s	$1.6752	$1.6924	$1.6569	value	-2.28	5.26
7d #200816	fresh	2026-10-25 11:00	0s	$1.6944	$1.7953	$1.6607	value	-2.23	9.31
30d #200877	fresh	2026-10-25 08:00	0s	$2.0504	$2.1849	$1.8475	lvn LVN	-10.45	9.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6310 → $1.6405	0.58%	1.41	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.019275	+2.86

Prix observé : $1.6598. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6208 → $1.6358	0.92%	1.03	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.024040	+1.66
below	$1.8128 → $1.8402	1.50%	1.90	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.152987	-10.58
below	$1.8627 → $1.8751	0.67%	0.86	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.202853	-14.03
below	$1.9001 → $1.9200	1.04%	1.38	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.240253	-16.62

Prix observé : $1.6598. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.6208 → $1.6735	3.20%	1.42	0.78	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.9476 → $1.9740	1.34%	0.71	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $0.287843	-7.76
below	$2.1743 → $2.2534	3.57%	2.13	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.514525	-13.87

Prix observé : $1.6598. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 86312,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}