Observation #53994

← Research Observations / #53994

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.245040

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,218,260

Synced: 10-25 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-25 14:00) Next (10-25 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.1d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00005549

Settled at: 2026-10-25 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)81,974,704.00

OI (USD)$20,111,674

Mark price$0.245340

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,351,896

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.456%

Change 4h +0.132%

Change 24h +1.877%

Z-score 7d 0.94

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 77.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +2.326%

Divergence 0.73

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.574

OI / Vol z-7d

1.73

OI momentum 4h

-0.694%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+813 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411848	fresh	19h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 43%	—	—	—	0.45	13%	↓ -0.64	below_value	-5.85	inside	#198419	—	bull_high	+4.29%	-1.00	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:24	↗
4h #417611	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.620	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 44%	early 6b -0.4ATR	—	—	1.06	21%	↓ -0.30	below_value	-4.33	inside	#200835	0.37	bear_high	-1.89%	-0.69	25/10 08:00 upd 25/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #418517	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.522	expansion	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 4b 2.1ATR	—	—	0.73	27%	↑ +0.67	value	-3.00	inside	#201242	0.54	range_low	-0.74%	+0.55	25/10 14:00 upd 25/10 15:09	↗
15m #418459	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.723	compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 44%	late 10b 2.4ATR	—	—	0.07	2%	↓ -0.68	below_value	-3.75	—	#201128	0.61	range_low	+0.06%	+0.28	25/10 14:45 upd 25/10 15:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #225282	fresh	2026-10-25 14:00	0s	0.619	0.626	7/59	2026-10-25 15:00
4h #225108	fresh	2026-10-25 08:00	3h	0.480	0.428	27/60	2026-10-25 12:00
1d #223768	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	19h	0.143	0.049	69/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #201185	fresh	2026-10-25 14:45	0s	$0.225345	$0.236350	$0.223023	lvn LVN	9.06	6.13
7d #201242	fresh	2026-10-25 14:00	0s	$0.258262	$0.289834	$0.243972	value	-3.00	10.39
30d #200896	fresh	2026-10-25 08:00	3h	$0.535932	$0.669480	$0.338431	between	-29.13	32.53

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.221610 → $0.223023	0.64%	0.65	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022017	+10.13
inside	$0.241196 → $0.245840	1.91%	2.14	0.62	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.245040. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.222703	2.11%	1.05	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022337	+5.06
above	$0.231343 → $0.237325	2.55%	1.36	0.41	reversion	—	↑ $0.007715	+1.75
above	$0.241313 → $0.244637	1.37%	0.75	0.42	reversion	—	↑ $0.000403	+0.09
below	$0.291828 → $0.297810	2.03%	1.36	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.046788	-10.60

Prix observé : $0.245040. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.440003 → $0.496432	12.05%	5.55	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $0.194963	-19.16
below	$0.586718 → $0.616813	5.00%	2.96	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.341678	-33.58
below	$0.654432 → $0.669480	2.27%	1.48	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.409392	-40.23

Prix observé : $0.245040. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 97112,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}