Observation #54030

← Research Observations / #54030

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.007519

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,082,698

Synced: 10-25 17:01 +1h

← Prev (10-25 15:00) Next (10-25 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.2d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00035598

Settled at: 2026-10-25 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

stale

No OI snapshot found for this timestamp.

staleness: 2h

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.009%

Change 4h -0.259%

Change 24h -1.240%

Z-score 7d 0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001195%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 95.1%

Δ 4h +0.000284%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.508%

Divergence -0.02

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.608

OI / Vol z-7d

1.88

OI momentum 4h

+0.265%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+153 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:00:40 (59min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411793	fresh	20h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.676	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 31b -0.7ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.52	35%	↓ -0.64	above_value	+1.63	—	#198393	0.73	bull_high	+4.29%	-0.92	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:21	↗
4h #418830	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.469	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 13b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.41	6%	↔ -0.05	above_value	-0.55	—	#201336	0.62	bear_high	-1.94%	-0.26	25/10 12:00 upd 25/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #418829	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.345	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 10b 0.3ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.01	49%	↔ +0.05	above_value	-0.55	—	#201336	0.73	bear_low	-0.85%	-0.12	25/10 15:00 upd 25/10 16:12	↗
15m #418736	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.716	compression	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 33%	early 10b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.40	24%	↓ -0.21	—	—	—	—	0.77	range_low	-0.06%	+0.12	25/10 15:45 upd 25/10 16:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #225320	fresh	2026-10-25 15:00	0s	0.494	0.441	35/58	2026-10-25 16:00
4h #225378	fresh	2026-10-25 12:00	0s	0.485	0.409	25/58	2026-10-25 16:00
1d #223742	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	20h	0.280	0.292	54/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #201278	fresh	2026-10-25 15:45	0s	$0.007379	$0.007596	$0.007322	lvn LVN	4.11	8.04
7d #201336	fresh	2026-10-25 15:00	0s	$0.007560	$0.007947	$0.007428	hvn	-0.55	6.94
30d #201394	fresh	2026-10-25 12:00	0s	$0.007589	$0.009683	$0.007280	hvn	-0.25	12.37

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007303 → $0.007335	0.44%	0.95	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000184	+5.44
above	$0.007413 → $0.007432	0.26%	0.57	0.65	reversion	✓	↑ $0.000087	+2.60
inside	$0.007493 → $0.007522	0.39%	0.85	0.59	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.007519. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007131 → $0.007343	2.93%	2.83	0.95	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000176	+2.35
below	$0.008296 → $0.008402	1.27%	1.42	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000777	-10.38

Prix observé : $0.007519. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007053 → $0.007313	3.62%	1.34	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000206	+1.06
below	$0.008709 → $0.008904	2.21%	1.00	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001190	-6.12
below	$0.010430 → $0.010950	4.86%	2.67	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002911	-14.97

Prix observé : $0.007519. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 100712,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T18:00:40+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 7160,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}