Observation #54197

← Research Observations / #54197

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.6547

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,313,362

Synced: 10-25 20:01 +1h

← Prev (10-25 18:00) Next (10-25 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.3d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00037796

Settled at: 2026-10-25 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,831,327.60

OI (USD)$7,999,712

Mark price$1.6558

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,289,770

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.048%

Change 4h -0.447%

Change 24h +0.636%

Z-score 7d 0.13

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000017%

Avg 24h 0.001043%

Percentile 7d 24.4%

Percentile 30d 19.9%

Δ 4h -0.001233%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.678%

Divergence -0.27

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.181

OI / Vol z-7d

1.76

OI momentum 4h

-0.138%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+22 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #411801	fresh	23h	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.573	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 44%	late 56b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.53	13%	↔ -0.14	above_value	-0.68	—	#198397	0.48	bull_high	+4.29%	-0.88	23/10 20:00 upd 24/10 20:22	↗
4h #418838	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.719	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 13b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.29	4%	↓ -0.17	value	-2.29	inside	#201340	0.67	bear_high	-1.94%	-0.40	25/10 12:00 upd 25/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #419729	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.513	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	early 5b -0.5ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.15	5%	↓ -0.60	below_value	-2.90	inside	#201733	0.68	bear_low	-0.91%	-0.10	25/10 18:00 upd 25/10 19:09	↗
15m #419673	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.374	normal	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b -0.3ATR	near 0.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	0.11	3%	↓ -0.41	below_value	-3.04	—	#201622	0.76	range_low	-0.14%	-0.04	25/10 18:45 upd 25/10 19:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #225551	fresh	2026-10-25 18:00	0s	0.475	0.451	45/55	2026-10-25 19:00
4h #225382	fresh	2026-10-25 12:00	3h	0.455	0.336	39/58	2026-10-25 16:00
1d #223746	fresh	2026-10-23 20:00	23h	0.242	0.171	64/69	2026-10-24 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #201678	fresh	2026-10-25 18:45	0s	$1.6821	$1.6924	$1.6585	between	-4.38	5.42
7d #201733	fresh	2026-10-25 18:00	0s	$1.6944	$1.7953	$1.6607	between	-2.90	9.84
30d #201398	fresh	2026-10-25 12:00	3h	$2.0504	$2.1849	$1.8475	lvn LVN	-10.70	9.36

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6310 → $1.6411	0.61%	1.61	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013646	+2.19
above	$1.6437 → $1.6469	0.19%	0.51	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.007825	+1.25

Prix observé : $1.6547. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6208 → $1.6358	0.92%	1.09	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.018940	+1.38
below	$1.8128 → $1.8402	1.50%	2.00	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.158087	-11.55
below	$1.8627 → $1.8751	0.67%	0.91	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.207953	-15.19
below	$1.9001 → $1.9200	1.04%	1.46	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.245353	-17.93

Prix observé : $1.6547. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.6208 → $1.6735	3.20%	1.46	0.77	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.9476 → $1.9740	1.34%	0.73	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $0.292943	-8.12
below	$2.1743 → $2.2534	3.57%	2.19	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.519625	-14.41

Prix observé : $1.6547. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 111512,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}