Observation #54218

← Research Observations / #54218

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.168670

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,296,019

Synced: 10-25 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-25 19:00) Next (10-25 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.3d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001168%

Annualized10.24%

Premium-0.00040652

Settled at: 2026-10-25 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)95,096,613.40

OI (USD)$15,995,250

Mark price$0.168200

Funding next0.001198%

Day vol (USD)$2,306,790

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.153%

Change 4h -0.270%

Change 24h -0.651%

Z-score 7d -0.18

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001239%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.595%

Divergence -0.06

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.148

OI / Vol z-7d

4.26 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.248%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+42 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #420096	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.682	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 32b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.19	37%	↔ -0.15	below_value	-14.27	—	#201807	0.58	bull_high	+3.25%	-0.89	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 20:16	↗
4h #419987	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.465	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 42%	late 35b -1.0ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.33	3%	↓ -0.73	below_value	-14.27	—	#201807	0.54	bear_high	-2.41%	-0.58	25/10 16:00 upd 25/10 20:10	↗
1h anchor #419986	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.375	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 35%	early 6b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	1.76	24%	↔ -0.01	below_value	-14.27	inside	#201807	0.70	bear_low_confirmed	-1.28%	+0.13	25/10 19:00 upd 25/10 20:10	↗
15m #419928	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.650	expansion	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 39%	early 1b -0.5ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	3.77	85%	↑ +0.46	below_value	-14.21	—	#201701	0.73	range_low	-0.50%	+0.02	25/10 19:45 upd 25/10 20:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #225574	fresh	2026-10-25 19:00	0s	0.505	0.417	34/54	2026-10-25 20:00	2026-10-25 20:35
4h #225627	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	0s	0.404	0.263	43/54	2026-10-25 20:00	2026-10-25 20:36
1d #225680	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	0s	0.266	0.315	46/53	2026-10-25 20:00	2026-10-25 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #201756	fresh	2026-10-25 19:45	0s	$0.169918	$0.170672	$0.165688	hvn	-1.28	5.11
7d #201807	fresh	2026-10-25 19:00	0s	$0.195512	$0.200768	$0.184153	between	-14.27	8.83
30d #201858	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	0s	$0.202147	$0.207504	$0.180400	between	-6.60	5.46

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.166606 → $0.167327	0.43%	0.74	0.48	reversion	—	↑ $0.001343	+1.38

Prix observé : $0.168670. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.163130 → $0.164147	0.62%	0.54	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004523	+2.41
below	$0.171607 → $0.177711	3.49%	3.24	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002937	-1.56
below	$0.200768 → $0.203820	1.51%	1.62	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.032098	-17.06

Prix observé : $0.168670. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.167163	3.45%	1.14	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001507	+0.30
below	$0.213808 → $0.220111	2.91%	1.27	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.045138	-9.10
below	$0.230196 → $0.237130	2.97%	1.40	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.061526	-12.40

Prix observé : $0.168670. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 115112,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-25T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}