Observation #54319

← Research Observations / #54319

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.239630

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,385,891

Synced: 10-25 22:02 +1h

← Prev (10-25 20:00) Next (10-25 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.4d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00004069

Settled at: 2026-10-25 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)81,767,946.00

OI (USD)$19,512,285

Mark price$0.238630

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,756,402

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 20:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.193%

Change 4h -0.459%

Change 24h +2.902%

Z-score 7d 0.42

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 78.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.457%

Divergence 0.33

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.385

OI / Vol z-7d

1.42

OI momentum 4h

-0.880%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+819 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #420224	fresh	1h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 43%	—	—	—	0.30	2%	↓ -0.68	below_value	-4.89	inside	#201850	—	bull_high	+3.25%	-1.00	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 20:21	↗
4h #420073	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.622	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	early 8b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.70	8%	↓ -0.26	below_value	-4.89	inside	#201850	0.37	bear_high	-2.41%	-0.46	25/10 16:00 upd 25/10 20:13	↗
1h anchor #420440	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.634	expansion	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 40%	early 6b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.94	47%	↔ +0.05	below_value	-4.76	inside	#202007	0.56	bear_medium	-1.23%	+0.47	25/10 20:00 upd 25/10 21:09	↗
15m #420386	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.663	normal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b -0.5ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.78	51%	↑ +0.19	below_value	-4.89	—	#201850	0.58	range_low	-0.43%	-0.05	25/10 20:45 upd 25/10 21:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #225778	fresh	2026-10-25 20:00	0s	0.553	0.510	19/51	2026-10-25 21:00
4h #225672	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	1h	0.409	0.281	41/54	2026-10-25 20:00
1d #225725	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	1h	0.257	0.216	48/53	2026-10-25 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #201954	fresh	2026-10-25 20:45	0s	$0.240287	$0.244225	$0.228071	hvn	-0.33	8.04
7d #202007	fresh	2026-10-25 20:00	0s	$0.259592	$0.293822	$0.243307	between	-4.76	12.05
30d #201901	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	1h	$0.535932	$0.661956	$0.334669	between	-30.82	34.09

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.221610 → $0.223023	0.64%	0.70	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016607	+8.27
above	$0.228475 → $0.229687	0.53%	0.60	0.63	reversion	✓	↑ $0.009943	+4.95
above	$0.231908 → $0.233119	0.52%	0.60	0.52	reversion	✓	↑ $0.006511	+3.24
below	$0.243619 → $0.245840	0.91%	1.11	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003989	-1.99

Prix observé : $0.239630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.222703	2.11%	1.11	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016927	+4.04
above	$0.231343 → $0.235996	1.99%	1.11	0.39	reversion	—	↑ $0.003634	+0.87
below	$0.242643 → $0.247295	1.90%	1.11	0.46	reversion	—	↓ $0.003013	-0.72
below	$0.291828 → $0.297810	2.03%	1.43	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.052198	-12.45

Prix observé : $0.239630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.440003 → $0.496432	12.05%	5.88	0.74	reversion	✓	↓ $0.200373	-20.87
below	$0.586718 → $0.616813	5.00%	3.13	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.347088	-36.15
below	$0.650670 → $0.669480	2.85%	1.96	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.411040	-42.81

Prix observé : $0.239630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 118712,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T00:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}