Observation #54378

← Research Observations / #54378

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$79,545.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,806,984,488

Synced: 10-26 00:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-25 22:00) Next (10-26 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.5d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000151%

Annualized-1.32%

Premium-0.00051205

Settled at: 2026-10-25 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,849.00

OI (USD)$3,328,251,328

Mark price$79,530.00

Funding next-0.000167%

Day vol (USD)$1,758,495,033

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 22:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.039%

Change 4h -0.263%

Change 24h -0.509%

Z-score 7d -0.01

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000326%

Avg 24h 0.000935%

Percentile 7d 6.5%

Percentile 30d 12.9%

Δ 4h +0.000101%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.108%

Divergence -1.53

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.036

OI / Vol z-7d

1.14

OI momentum 4h

-0.961%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+98 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #420078	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.723	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 34b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.58	23%	↔ +0.01	below_value	-5.35	—	#201801	—	—	—	—	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 20:15	↗
4h #419975	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.361	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 8b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.77	40%	↓ -0.33	below_value	-4.66	—	#201695	—	—	—	—	25/10 16:00 upd 25/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #420957	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.424	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 42%	late 1b -2.0ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	1.45	75%	↑ +0.60	below_value	-5.67	inside	#202065	—	—	—	—	25/10 22:00 upd 25/10 23:05	↗
15m #420900	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.404	volatile_reversal	bear_low	35%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 3b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.16	43%	↑ +0.31	below_value	-5.67	—	#202065	—	—	—	—	25/10 22:45 upd 25/10 23:00	↗
5m #420899	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.438	compression	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 10b -1.1ATR	near -1.2ATR	—	0.13	49%	↓ -0.75	below_value	-5.67	—	#202065	—	—	—	—	25/10 22:55 upd 25/10 23:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #225835	fresh	2026-10-25 22:00	0s	0.573	0.434	9/56	2026-10-25 23:00
4h #225621	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	3h	0.541	0.424	11/54	2026-10-25 20:00
1d #225674	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	3h	0.466	0.447	10/53	2026-10-25 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #202121	fresh	2026-10-25 22:45	0s	$80,354.15	$80,680.60	$79,916.56	lvn LVN	-3.02	2.85
7d #202177	fresh	2026-10-25 22:00	0s	$81,804.53	$83,480.72	$80,553.28	lvn LVN	-5.98	7.74
30d #201852	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	3h	$83,511.41	$84,417.15	$81,062.57	lvn LVN	-4.51	4.82

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$79,347.00 → $79,597.05	0.31%	0.93	0.55	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$80,833.41 → $81,014.00	0.22%	0.67	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,288.41	-4.81

Prix observé : $79,545.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$79,184.00 → $79,703.38	0.65%	1.37	0.64	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$83,480.72 → $84,283.40	0.96%	2.12	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,935.72	-10.41

Prix observé : $79,545.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$79,184.00 → $80,391.65	1.51%	1.74	0.80	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,429.90 → $87,235.00	0.93%	1.16	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $6,884.90	-9.90

Prix observé : $79,545.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 125912,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T02:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}