Observation #54416

← Research Observations / #54416

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-25 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.352200

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,986,417

Synced: 10-26 00:01 +1h

← Prev (10-25 22:00) Next (10-26 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.5d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00017045

Settled at: 2026-10-25 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)13,281,250.40

OI (USD)$4,665,039

Mark price$0.351250

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,054,859

Snapshot at: 2026-10-25 22:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -2.252%

Change 4h -2.623%

Change 24h +5.668%

Z-score 7d -1.86

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001243%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 80.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.400%

Divergence -0.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.450

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.63

OI momentum 4h

-2.030%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+30 crowded

Time: 2026-10-25 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 162 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #420180	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.538	compression	bear_high	46%	noisy_chop 39%	late 51b -0.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.81	47%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+0.67	—	#201835	0.72	bull_high	+3.25%	-0.93	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 20:19	↗
4h #420043	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.393	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 39%	early 8b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.69	42%	↔ +0.02	above_value	+0.67	—	#201835	0.63	bear_high	-2.41%	+0.14	25/10 16:00 upd 25/10 20:12	↗
1h anchor #420995	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.484	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 4b -1.0ATR	—	—	1.86	84%	↔ +0.08	value	-0.63	—	#202215	0.61	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.88%	-0.06	25/10 22:00 upd 25/10 23:09	↗
15m #420938	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.499	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	48%	noisy_chop 43%	late 9b -1.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.13	48%	↔ +0.06	above_value	-0.72	—	#202103	0.51	bear_low	-1.01%	-0.12	25/10 22:45 upd 25/10 23:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #225873	fresh	2026-10-25 22:00	0s	0.563	0.448	12/56	2026-10-25 23:00
4h #225657	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	3h	0.516	0.459	12/54	2026-10-25 20:00
1d #225710	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	3h	0.329	0.326	26/53	2026-10-25 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #202159	fresh	2026-10-25 22:45	0s	$0.357997	$0.364227	$0.352963	between	-2.05	3.99
7d #202215	fresh	2026-10-25 22:00	0s	$0.355664	$0.370256	$0.350800	value	-0.63	3.53
30d #201886	fresh	2026-10-25 16:00	3h	$0.359258	$0.416892	$0.334224	hvn	0.01	7.86

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.349720 → $0.351256	0.44%	0.54	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000944	+0.33
below	$0.364397 → $0.366957	0.70%	0.91	0.40	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.012197	-4.32

Prix observé : $0.352200. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.333060 → $0.338783	1.70%	1.04	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013417	+2.43
above	$0.341072 → $0.343933	0.84%	0.52	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008267	+1.50
below	$0.394863 → $0.401730	1.72%	1.25	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.042663	-7.74

Prix observé : $0.352200. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.333060 → $0.340046	2.08%	0.66	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012154	+1.16
below	$0.391277 → $0.406413	3.80%	1.44	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.039077	-3.71
below	$0.459972 → $0.472780	2.75%	1.22	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.107772	-10.24

Prix observé : $0.352200. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 125912,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T02:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}