Observation #54602

← Research Observations / #54602

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-26 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.073264

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,141,095

Synced: 10-26 03:01 +1h

← Prev (10-26 01:00) Next (10-26 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 1.6d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000364

Settled at: 2026-10-26 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)693,362,488.00

OI (USD)$50,706,985

Mark price$0.073132

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,148,411

Snapshot at: 2026-10-26 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.081%

Change 4h -0.614%

Change 24h -0.514%

Z-score 7d -0.11

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 99.4% top

Percentile 30d 93.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.542%

Divergence 0.91

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

15.836

OI / Vol z-7d

2.12 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.303%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+178 crowded

Time: 2026-10-26 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #420202	fresh	6h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.388	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 41%	late 30b -1.2ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.25	9%	↓ -0.41	value	-5.63	—	#201842	0.54	bull_high	+3.25%	-0.95	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 20:20	↗
4h #421348	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.507	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 42%	late 26b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.72	18%	↓ -0.22	value	-5.89	inside	#202337	0.56	bear_high	-3.01%	-0.31	25/10 20:00 upd 26/10 00:13	↗
1h anchor #421969	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.452	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.62	21%	↔ +0.03	value	-5.44	inside	#202627	0.60	bear_medium	-0.95%	+0.18	26/10 01:00 upd 26/10 02:11	↗
15m #421907	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.677	normal	range_medium	36%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 8b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.52	44%	↓ -0.39	value	-5.15	—	#202508	0.73	range_low	-0.04%	-0.08	26/10 01:45 upd 26/10 02:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #226117	fresh	2026-10-26 01:00	0s	0.488	0.449	35/59	2026-10-26 02:00
4h #225992	fresh	2026-10-25 20:00	2h	0.386	0.200	44/60	2026-10-26 00:00
1d #225717	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	6h	0.234	0.183	50/53	2026-10-25 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #202567	fresh	2026-10-26 01:45	0s	$0.071915	$0.073307	$0.071552	value	2.73	3.55
7d #202627	fresh	2026-10-26 01:00	0s	$0.078400	$0.079933	$0.072067	value	-5.44	8.34
30d #202394	fresh	2026-10-25 20:00	2h	$0.096349	$0.115606	$0.084015	lvn LVN	-12.06	16.01

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.071276 → $0.071577	0.42%	0.61	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001687	+3.41
below	$0.074034 → $0.074285	0.34%	0.51	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000770	-1.56

Prix observé : $0.073264. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.071400	1.13%	0.85	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001864	+1.98
below	$0.084467 → $0.086600	2.49%	2.26	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011203	-11.87

Prix observé : $0.073264. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.070600 → $0.074495	5.37%	1.97	0.71	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.114308 → $0.122530	6.94%	4.17	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.041044	-20.80

Prix observé : $0.073264. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 136712,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}