Observation #55368

← Research Observations / #55368

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-26 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$79,954.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,825,731,500

Synced: 10-26 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-26 14:00) Next (10-26 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

stale

Snapshot found but staler than max_age — FK cleared.

evaluated_at: 2026-10-24 12:01:28 · staleness: 2.1d

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00034240

Settled at: 2026-10-26 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,808.20

OI (USD)$3,344,488,929

Mark price$79,996.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,677,534,377

Snapshot at: 2026-10-26 14:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.470%

Change 4h +0.135%

Change 24h +0.144%

Z-score 7d 0.50

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000930%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.535%

Divergence -0.84

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.277

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.72

OI momentum 4h

-0.421%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+15 crowded

Time: 2026-10-26 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #420078	fresh	19h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.723	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 34b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.58	23%	↔ +0.01	below_value	-5.35	—	#201801	—	—	—	—	24/10 20:00 upd 25/10 20:15	↗
4h #425241	fresh	3h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.473	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 41%	early 9b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.65	80%	↔ +0.03	value	-3.23	—	#203803	—	—	—	—	26/10 08:00 upd 26/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #426312	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.379	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 35%	early 2b -0.6ATR	near 0.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.37	30%	↔ +0.02	above_value	-3.16	—	#204254	—	—	—	—	26/10 14:00 upd 26/10 15:05	↗
15m #426246	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.510	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 42%	early 6b -1.0ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.33	60%	↓ -0.71	above_value	-3.16	—	#204254	—	—	—	—	26/10 14:45 upd 26/10 15:00	↗
5m #426245	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.324	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 53%	late 11b -2.8ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.42	38%	↓ -0.72	above_value	-3.16	—	#204254	—	—	—	—	26/10 14:55 upd 26/10 15:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #227047	fresh	2026-10-26 14:00	0s	0.513	0.459	19/64	2026-10-26 15:00
4h #226857	fresh	2026-10-26 08:00	3h	0.578	0.457	12/63	2026-10-26 12:00
1d #225674	fresh	2026-10-24 20:00	19h	0.466	0.447	10/53	2026-10-25 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #204319	fresh	2026-10-26 14:45	0s	$80,171.60	$80,475.40	$79,805.80	hvn	-0.85	2.60
7d #204383	fresh	2026-10-26 14:00	0s	$81,615.66	$82,300.30	$79,420.08	value	-3.63	6.29
30d #203995	fresh	2026-10-26 08:00	3h	$83,511.41	$84,417.15	$80,861.29	between	-3.92	4.57

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$80,562.20 → $80,835.00	0.34%	1.06	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $608.20	-2.36

Prix observé : $79,954.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,184.00 → $79,467.30	0.36%	0.62	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $486.70	+1.06
below	$83,480.72 → $84,330.62	1.01%	1.86	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,526.72	-7.71

Prix observé : $79,954.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$79,184.00 → $80,190.38	1.26%	1.29	0.69	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,362.81 → $87,235.00	1.00%	1.12	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $6,408.81	-8.24

Prix observé : $79,954.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-24T16:01:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 183512,
        "resolution": "stale"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T18:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-26T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}