Observation #56964

← Research Observations / #56964

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-27 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.074074

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,122,900

Synced: 10-27 17:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-27 15:00) Next (10-27 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.691

evaluated_at: 2026-10-27 15:46:28 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00017488

Settled at: 2026-10-27 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)693,550,416.00

OI (USD)$51,253,376

Mark price$0.073900

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,226,218

Snapshot at: 2026-10-27 15:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.143%

Change 4h -2.354%

Change 24h -0.756%

Z-score 7d -0.20

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001220%

Percentile 7d 99.4% top

Percentile 30d 97.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.294%

Divergence 2.22 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

9.931

OI / Vol z-7d

0.09

OI momentum 4h

-3.033%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+216 crowded

Time: 2026-10-27 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #428265	fresh	20h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.389	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 40%	late 31b -1.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.40	21%	↓ -0.45	above_value	-5.70	—	#205135	0.54	bull_high	+3.19%	-0.89	25/10 20:00 upd 26/10 20:22	↗
4h #434920	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.488	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 39%	early 2b 0.2ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.51	44%	↔ -0.01	above_value	+0.34	inside	#207910	0.57	bear_high	-1.12%	-0.13	27/10 12:00 upd 27/10 16:16	↗
1h anchor #434928	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.482	normal	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 9b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.76	50%	↑ +0.57	above_value	+0.34	—	#207910	0.60	range_medium	+0.30%	+0.06	27/10 15:00 upd 27/10 16:16	↗
15m #434812	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.471	compression	bull_medium	56%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b 0.6ATR	near -0.3ATR	near 0.2ATR	0.89	84%	↓ -0.76	above_value	+0.71	—	#207786	0.76	range_low	+0.73%	+0.08	27/10 15:45 upd 27/10 16:05	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #229063	fresh	2026-10-27 15:00	0s	0.529	0.506	28/61	2026-10-27 16:00
4h #229123	fresh	2026-10-27 12:00	0s	0.505	0.425	24/61	2026-10-27 16:00
1d #227602	fresh	2026-10-25 20:00	20h	0.223	0.173	63/64	2026-10-26 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #207848	fresh	2026-10-27 15:45	0s	$0.073940	$0.074390	$0.072155	hvn	0.32	5.27
7d #207910	fresh	2026-10-27 15:00	0s	$0.073733	$0.079400	$0.070733	hvn	0.34	8.73
30d #207973	fresh	2026-10-27 12:00	0s	$0.096595	$0.103860	$0.082225	between	-11.35	11.04

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070688 → $0.070988	0.42%	0.71	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003086	+7.29
above	$0.073389 → $0.073656	0.36%	0.63	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000418	+0.99
below	$0.074256 → $0.074690	0.58%	1.02	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000182	-0.43

Prix observé : $0.074074. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.071133	0.75%	0.54	0.43	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.002941	+2.97
below	$0.076733 → $0.077533	1.04%	0.81	0.43	reversion	—	↓ $0.002659	-2.68
below	$0.084467 → $0.086600	2.49%	2.15	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010393	-10.48

Prix observé : $0.074074. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.072860	3.15%	1.15	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001214	+0.62
below	$0.089006 → $0.090621	1.80%	0.82	0.62	reversion	✓	↓ $0.014932	-7.62
below	$0.103538 → $0.109350	5.46%	2.97	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029464	-15.04

Prix observé : $0.074074. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-27T19:46:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 812,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-27T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-27T19:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-27T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}