Observation #57277

← Research Observations / #57277

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-27 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.073988

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,920,961

Synced: 10-27 22:05 +1.1h

← Prev (10-27 20:00) Next (10-27 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_rotation

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.7968

evaluated_at: 2026-10-27 20:46:30 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00006570

Settled at: 2026-10-27 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)693,519,070.00

OI (USD)$51,284,348

Mark price$0.073948

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,923,056

Snapshot at: 2026-10-27 20:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.038%

Change 4h -0.005%

Change 24h -0.519%

Z-score 7d -0.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001220%

Percentile 7d 99.4% top

Percentile 30d 98.5%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.515%

Divergence 0.32

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

10.134

OI / Vol z-7d

0.13

OI momentum 4h

+2.418%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+221 crowded

Time: 2026-10-27 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #436401	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.395	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 36%	late 32b -1.1ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.49	25%	↓ -0.41	above_value	+0.00	—	#208471	0.54	bull_high	+4.10%	-0.89	26/10 20:00 upd 27/10 20:23	↗
4h #436266	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.487	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.65	9%	↑ +0.25	above_value	+0.00	inside	#208471	0.57	bear_high	-0.97%	+0.06	27/10 16:00 upd 27/10 20:15	↗
1h anchor #436681	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.617	normal	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 14b 0.7ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.35	19%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+0.28	—	#208658	0.71	range_medium	+0.19%	+0.18	27/10 20:00 upd 27/10 21:10	↗
15m #436617	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.559	compression	bull_medium	53%	noisy_chop 34%	early 6b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.24	6%	↓ -0.34	above_value	+0.00	—	#208471	0.76	range_low	+0.40%	-0.00	27/10 20:45 upd 27/10 21:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #229554	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	0s	0.516	0.541	38/62	2026-10-27 21:00
4h #229430	fresh	2026-10-27 16:00	1h	0.433	0.365	49/62	2026-10-27 20:00
1d #229492	fresh	2026-10-26 20:00	1h	0.248	0.224	61/62	2026-10-27 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #208595	fresh	2026-10-27 20:45	0s	$0.073940	$0.074390	$0.072122	hvn	0.15	6.79
7d #208658	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	0s	$0.073733	$0.079400	$0.070733	hvn	0.28	9.54
30d #208533	fresh	2026-10-27 16:00	1h	$0.096595	$0.103860	$0.082548	between	-11.86	11.11

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070688 → $0.070988	0.42%	0.90	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003000	+8.99
above	$0.073223 → $0.073523	0.41%	0.90	0.53	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000465	+1.39
below	$0.074290 → $0.074690	0.54%	1.20	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000302	-0.91

Prix observé : $0.073988. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.071133	0.75%	0.59	0.42	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.002855	+3.14
below	$0.076733 → $0.077533	1.04%	0.88	0.43	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.002745	-3.02
below	$0.084467 → $0.086600	2.49%	2.35	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010479	-11.53

Prix observé : $0.073988. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.072860	3.15%	1.18	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001128	+0.59
below	$0.089006 → $0.090621	1.80%	0.84	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.015018	-7.83
below	$0.103538 → $0.109350	5.46%	3.03	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029550	-15.41

Prix observé : $0.073988. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T00:46:30+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 810,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T00:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}