Observation #57648

← Research Observations / #57648

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-28 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.2083

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,140,800

Synced: 10-28 04:04 +1.1h

← Prev (10-28 02:00) Next (10-28 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.4961

evaluated_at: 2026-10-28 02:46:32 · staleness: 13min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000905%

Annualized7.93%

Premium-0.00042762

Settled at: 2026-10-28 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,166,984.40

OI (USD)$7,008,536

Mark price$2.2130

Funding next0.000848%

Day vol (USD)$1,178,345

Snapshot at: 2026-10-28 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.339%

Change 4h -0.176%

Change 24h +0.185%

Z-score 7d -0.47

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000654%

Avg 24h 0.000830%

Percentile 7d 1.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.3%

Δ 4h -0.001904%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.383%

Divergence -0.09

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.849

OI / Vol z-7d

1.02

OI momentum 4h

-0.025%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-28 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 155 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #436388	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.653	compression	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 32b -0.9ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.75	37%	↔ -0.05	above_value	-3.48	—	#208464	0.50	bull_high	+4.10%	-0.84	26/10 20:00 upd 27/10 20:23	↗
4h #437703	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.500	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 10b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.74	29%	↑ +0.17	value	-2.42	—	#209034	0.52	range_high	-0.69%	+0.29	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 00:15	↗
1h anchor #438709	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.543	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 16b 1.2ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.32	14%	↔ -0.07	value	-2.79	—	#209477	0.54	range_medium	+0.28%	+0.11	28/10 02:00 upd 28/10 03:10	↗
15m #438644	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.587	compression	bull_medium	60%	noisy_chop 42%	early 8b -0.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.28	10%	↓ -0.16	value	-2.86	—	#209351	0.60	range_low	+0.29%	-0.02	28/10 02:45 upd 28/10 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #229985	fresh	2026-10-28 02:00	0s	0.554	0.596	21/61	2026-10-28 03:00
4h #229798	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	3h	0.537	0.494	20/63	2026-10-28 00:00
1d #229485	fresh	2026-10-26 20:00	7h	0.310	0.278	39/62	2026-10-27 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #209414	fresh	2026-10-28 02:45	0s	$2.1893	$2.1962	$2.1586	lvn LVN	2.23	4.42
7d #209477	fresh	2026-10-28 02:00	0s	$2.2667	$2.3204	$2.0908	value	-2.79	10.98
30d #209098	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	3h	$2.4956	$2.5951	$2.2864	lvn LVN	-5.55	6.02

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.1441 → $2.1506	0.30%	0.77	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.057690	+6.78
inside	$2.2012 → $2.2114	0.46%	1.19	0.75	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$2.2258 → $2.2309	0.23%	0.60	0.59	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.017537	-2.06

Prix observé : $2.2083. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0389 → $2.0686	1.44%	1.42	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.139737	+6.68
below	$2.3389 → $2.3796	1.73%	1.95	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.130607	-6.24
below	$2.4056 → $2.4426	1.53%	1.77	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.197267	-9.43

Prix observé : $2.2083. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.9982 → $2.1011	5.02%	2.01	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.107188	+2.09
inside	$2.1972 → $2.2315	1.55%	0.67	0.71	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$2.7598 → $2.8215	2.21%	1.20	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.551452	-10.76

Prix observé : $2.2083. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T06:46:32+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 808,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}