Observation #57660

← Research Observations / #57660

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-28 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.049377

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,106,138

Synced: 10-28 04:05 +1.1h

← Prev (10-28 02:00) Next (10-28 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.4961

evaluated_at: 2026-10-28 02:46:32 · staleness: 13min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000188

Settled at: 2026-10-28 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)159,260,906.00

OI (USD)$7,897,748

Mark price$0.049590

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,103,135

Snapshot at: 2026-10-28 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.000%

Change 4h -0.199%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 90.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.648%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.108

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+1.404%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+65 crowded

Time: 2026-10-28 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 10 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #436411	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.619	normal	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 34%	early 19b 1.0ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.34	63%	↔ +0.08	above_value	+4.47	—	#208476	0.40	bull_high	+4.10%	+0.88	26/10 20:00 upd 27/10 20:24	↗
4h #437737	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.606	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 12b 1.5ATR	—	—	1.02	65%	↑ +0.42	above_value	+4.16	—	#209047	0.45	range_high	-0.69%	+0.60	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 00:17	↗
1h anchor #438721	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	grind	0.753	volatile_reversal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 9b 1.1ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.30	30%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+4.70	—	#209489	0.32	range_medium	+0.28%	+0.65	28/10 02:00 upd 28/10 03:11	↗
15m #438656	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.604	compression	bull_medium	59%	noisy_chop 45%	early 9b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.57	23%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+4.51	—	#209363	0.33	range_low	+0.29%	-0.05	28/10 02:45 upd 28/10 03:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #229996	fresh	2026-10-28 02:00	0s	0.644	0.704	5/61	2026-10-28 03:00
4h #229809	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	3h	0.649	0.689	6/63	2026-10-28 00:00
1d #229497	fresh	2026-10-26 20:00	7h	0.612	0.853	5/62	2026-10-27 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #209425	fresh	2026-10-28 02:45	0s	$0.048165	$0.050798	$0.047758	hvn	3.61	9.06
7d #209489	fresh	2026-10-28 02:00	0s	$0.045679	$0.047144	$0.044001	between	4.70	3.99
30d #209110	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	3h	$0.046078	$0.049712	$0.042588	value	2.01	4.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.045477 → $0.046020	1.19%	1.62	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003357	+10.00
above	$0.046128 → $0.046454	0.70%	0.97	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002923	+8.70
above	$0.047269 → $0.047812	1.14%	1.62	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001565	+4.66

Prix observé : $0.049377. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.042715 → $0.043144	1.00%	0.54	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006233	+7.91
above	$0.048430 → $0.049001	1.17%	0.73	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.000376	+0.48
below	$0.050144 → $0.051287	2.25%	1.45	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000767	-0.97

Prix observé : $0.049377. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.039168 → $0.041305	5.31%	1.23	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008072	+4.64
below	$0.054129 → $0.056266	3.87%	1.23	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004752	-2.73

Prix observé : $0.049377. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T06:46:32+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 808,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}