Observation #58678

← Research Observations / #58678

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-28 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.077123

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,233,117

Synced: 10-28 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-28 18:00) Next (10-28 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_bound

Environmentrange_bound

Participationalt_rotation

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.7629

evaluated_at: 2026-10-28 18:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00027455

Settled at: 2026-10-28 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)738,990,132.00

OI (USD)$57,021,218

Mark price$0.077161

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$10,029,556

Snapshot at: 2026-10-28 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.136%

Change 4h +0.246%

Change 24h +6.117%

Z-score 7d 0.29

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -2.009%

Divergence -1.47

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.794

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.05

OI momentum 4h

-1.098%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+243 crowded

Time: 2026-10-28 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #436401	fresh	23h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.395	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 36%	late 32b -1.1ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.49	25%	↓ -0.41	above_value	+0.00	—	#208471	0.54	bull_high	+4.10%	-0.89	26/10 20:00 upd 27/10 20:23	↗
4h #443141	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.489	expansion	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 42%	late 8b 1.7ATR	—	—	2.89	67%	↑ +0.57	above_value	+3.45	—	#211287	0.57	range_high	-0.06%	+0.57	28/10 12:00 upd 28/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #444204	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.697	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b 0.5ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.39	55%	↑ +0.37	value	+2.88	—	#211747	0.71	range_medium	+0.63%	+0.29	28/10 18:00 upd 28/10 19:11	↗
15m #444136	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.586	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	early 11b -0.4ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.34	53%	↓ -0.82	above_value	+3.11	—	#211613	0.60	range_low	+0.42%	-0.06	28/10 18:45 upd 28/10 19:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #231250	fresh	2026-10-28 18:00	0s	0.569	0.573	28/66	2026-10-28 19:00
4h #231041	fresh	2026-10-28 12:00	3h	0.662	0.542	9/66	2026-10-28 16:00
1d #229492	fresh	2026-10-26 20:00	23h	0.248	0.224	61/62	2026-10-27 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #211680	fresh	2026-10-28 18:45	0s	$0.076142	$0.077801	$0.075301	value	1.48	3.78
7d #211747	fresh	2026-10-28 18:00	0s	$0.073657	$0.077336	$0.071429	value	2.88	4.70
30d #211347	fresh	2026-10-28 12:00	3h	$0.096611	$0.102804	$0.081885	between	-8.59	10.19

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.073426 → $0.074388	1.30%	1.45	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002735	+4.13
below	$0.078714 → $0.079195	0.61%	0.73	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001591	-2.40

Prix observé : $0.077123. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.080030 → $0.083035	3.69%	2.39	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002907	-2.31

Prix observé : $0.077123. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070600 → $0.073628	4.20%	1.47	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003495	+1.70
below	$0.088491 → $0.090693	2.46%	1.07	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.011368	-5.54
below	$0.100878 → $0.103630	2.69%	1.34	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.023755	-11.57

Prix observé : $0.077123. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	pending	19:05	19:20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1h	pending	19:05	20:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
4h	pending	19:05	23:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
12h	pending	19:05	07:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1d	pending	19:05	19:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T22:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-28T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}