Observation #5956

← Research Observations / #5956

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-09-28 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.009125

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $11,994,832

Synced: 09-28 23:01 +1h

← Prev (09-28 21:00) Next (09-28 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2361

evaluated_at: 2026-09-28 21:46:28 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001800%

Annualized-15.77%

Premium-0.00064399

Settled at: 2026-09-28 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,672,063,046.00

OI (USD)$15,314,425

Mark price$0.009159

Funding next-0.001813%

Day vol (USD)$12,081,085

Snapshot at: 2026-09-28 21:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.546%

Change 4h -2.188%

Change 24h -15.749%

Z-score 7d -0.26

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001187%

Avg 24h 0.001247%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 22.9%

Δ 4h -0.000063%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.649%

Divergence -0.16

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.300

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.40

OI momentum 4h

+7.502%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+283 crowded

Time: 2026-09-28 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #167038	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.689	volatile_reversal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	early 13b 0.7ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	1.86	95%	↑ +0.87	value	-2.68	—	#92654	0.73	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.74	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:28	↗
4h #166965	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.509	normal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 35%	early 8b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.03	81%	↑ +0.39	value	-2.68	—	#92654	0.57	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.27	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 20:25	↗
1h anchor #167883	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.556	expansion	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 8b -1.4ATR	—	—	1.55	81%	↔ -0.09	below_value	-3.99	—	#93106	0.49	bear_medium	-1.03%	-0.63	28/09 21:00 upd 28/09 22:13	↗
15m #167795	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.549	compression	bear_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 48%	late 1b -2.3ATR	—	—	1.49	69%	↑ +0.80	below_value	-3.25	—	#92924	0.78	range_low	-0.58%	-0.25	28/09 21:45 upd 28/09 22:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #163655	fresh	2026-09-28 21:00	0s	0.408	0.253	75/90	2026-09-28 22:00	2026-09-28 22:37
4h #163388	fresh	2026-09-28 16:00	2h	0.505	0.551	52/89	2026-09-28 20:00	2026-09-28 20:39
1d #163477	fresh	2026-09-27 20:00	2h	0.540	0.622	63/89	2026-09-28 20:00	2026-09-28 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #93015	fresh	2026-09-28 21:45	0s	$0.009316	$0.009746	$0.009249	between	-1.90	4.94
7d #93106	fresh	2026-09-28 21:00	0s	$0.010138	$0.010442	$0.009459	between	-3.99	3.87
30d #92744	fresh	2026-09-28 16:00	2h	$0.008675	$0.010159	$0.008018	value	1.56	4.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.009021 → $0.009083	0.69%	0.62	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000042	+0.42
below	$0.010015 → $0.010264	2.45%	2.47	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000890	-8.83

Prix observé : $0.009125. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008665 → $0.008937	3.09%	1.07	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000188	+0.74
below	$0.010880 → $0.011173	2.65%	1.15	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001755	-6.91

Prix observé : $0.009125. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007117	6.54%	0.98	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002008	+4.36
below	$0.010572 → $0.011173	5.53%	1.31	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001447	-3.14

Prix observé : $0.009125. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T01:46:28+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 812,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T01:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}