Observation #60098

← Research Observations / #60098

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-29 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.261860

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,561,911

Synced: 10-29 16:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-29 14:00) Next (10-29 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.2453

evaluated_at: 2026-10-29 14:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00006124

Settled at: 2026-10-29 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)82,023,614.00

OI (USD)$21,618,964

Mark price$0.263570

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$8,954,759

Snapshot at: 2026-10-29 14:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.478%

Change 4h +2.671%

Change 24h -0.813%

Z-score 7d -1.87

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 84.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -5.951%

Divergence -3.57 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.337

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.97

OI momentum 4h

+3.303%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+745 crowded

Time: 2026-10-29 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444773	fresh	19h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 42%	—	—	—	1.77	42%	↓ -0.46	above_value	+3.92	—	#211896	—	bull_high	+4.55%	-0.96	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:27	↗
4h #450748	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.690	volatile_reversal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	early 8b 0.8ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	1.60	70%	↑ +0.68	value	-1.19	—	#214398	0.36	range_high	+0.26%	+0.92	29/10 08:00 upd 29/10 12:21	↗
1h anchor #451835	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.625	normal	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b -2.0ATR	—	—	0.48	50%	↑ +0.27	above_value	-3.80	—	#214906	0.61	range_medium	+0.23%	-0.79	29/10 14:00 upd 29/10 15:12	↗
15m #451761	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.444	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 52%	late 14b -2.8ATR	—	—	0.15	13%	↔ -0.07	above_value	-2.86	—	#214760	0.46	range_low	+0.24%	-0.43	29/10 14:45 upd 29/10 15:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #233062	fresh	2026-10-29 14:00	0s	0.409	0.399	72/73	2026-10-29 15:00
4h #232838	fresh	2026-10-29 08:00	3h	0.635	0.745	19/72	2026-10-29 12:00
1d #231463	fresh	2026-10-27 20:00	19h	0.375	0.343	24/66	2026-10-28 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #214833	fresh	2026-10-29 14:45	0s	$0.281280	$0.287580	$0.269380	lvn LVN	-5.89	5.52
7d #214906	fresh	2026-10-29 14:00	0s	$0.290840	$0.308356	$0.247633	lvn LVN	-3.80	8.14
30d #214469	fresh	2026-10-29 08:00	3h	$0.288454	$0.412785	$0.242017	hvn	-0.70	12.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.261260 → $0.266300	1.91%	1.53	0.75	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.292340 → $0.294860	0.86%	0.76	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.030480	-9.25

Prix observé : $0.261860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.222721	2.12%	0.63	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.039139	+5.25
inside	$0.261646 → $0.265538	1.48%	0.52	0.46	reversion	—	inside	+0.00
below	$0.267095 → $0.270988	1.45%	0.52	0.39	reversion	—	↓ $0.005235	-0.70
below	$0.302907 → $0.311470	2.79%	1.15	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.041047	-5.51

Prix observé : $0.261860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.218050 → $0.227038	4.04%	0.67	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.034822	+2.60
below	$0.436752 → $0.496670	12.84%	4.48	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.174892	-13.08
below	$0.556589 → $0.577560	3.70%	1.57	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.294729	-22.04

Prix observé : $0.261860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	pending	15:05	15:20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1h	pending	15:05	16:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
4h	pending	15:05	19:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
12h	pending	15:05	03:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1d	pending	15:05	15:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T18:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T18:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}