Observation #6016

← Research Observations / #6016

🪙 FET page 📊 Market Context

🪙 FET

Market snapshot at

2026-09-28 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.217230

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,552,751

Synced: 09-29 00:01 +1h

← Prev (09-28 22:00) Next (09-29 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · FET — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0556

evaluated_at: 2026-09-28 22:46:18 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00009091

Settled at: 2026-09-28 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)47,934,892.00

OI (USD)$10,362,086

Mark price$0.216170

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,633,219

Snapshot at: 2026-09-28 22:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -2.065%

Change 4h -6.824%

Change 24h -7.673%

Z-score 7d -1.32

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001646%

Percentile 7d 47.6%

Percentile 30d 81.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.005%

Divergence 0.99

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.281

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.48

OI momentum 4h

-13.865%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+304 crowded

Time: 2026-09-28 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #166923	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.597	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 12b 1.2ATR	—	—	1.27	88%	↑ +0.59	value	-3.48	—	#92626	0.66	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.93	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:23	↗
4h #166849	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.572	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 14b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.33	36%	↔ -0.01	value	-3.48	—	#92626	0.59	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.53	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 20:19	↗
1h anchor #168307	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.560	normal	bear_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 8b -2.0ATR	—	—	0.72	53%	↔ +0.08	value	-5.04	—	#93259	0.46	bear_medium	-1.13%	-0.62	28/09 22:00 upd 28/09 23:10	↗
15m #168223	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.521	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 42%	late 13b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.08	10%	↑ +0.51	above_value	-4.81	—	#93078	0.73	range_low	-0.66%	-0.23	28/09 22:45 upd 28/09 23:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #163717	fresh	2026-09-28 22:00	0s	0.411	0.248	61/90	2026-09-28 23:00	2026-09-28 23:36
4h #163360	fresh	2026-09-28 16:00	3h	0.465	0.540	73/89	2026-09-28 20:00	2026-09-28 20:38
1d #163449	fresh	2026-09-27 20:00	3h	0.569	0.689	52/89	2026-09-28 20:00	2026-09-28 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #93169	fresh	2026-09-28 22:45	0s	$0.230858	$0.235982	$0.223827	lvn LVN	-5.97	5.32
7d #93259	fresh	2026-09-28 22:00	0s	$0.242312	$0.248947	$0.212019	value	-5.04	7.42
30d #92716	fresh	2026-09-28 16:00	3h	$0.168171	$0.209525	$0.147731	between	5.94	6.47

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.214770 → $0.217392	1.21%	1.15	0.71	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.237173 → $0.238842	0.70%	0.73	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.019943	-8.73
below	$0.241940 → $0.243370	0.59%	0.63	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.024710	-10.82

Prix observé : $0.217230. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.190670 → $0.194132	1.80%	0.70	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.023098	+4.64
above	$0.214327 → $0.217212	1.34%	0.58	0.56	reversion	✓	↑ $0.000018	+0.00
below	$0.248947 → $0.259910	4.31%	2.20	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.031717	-6.37

Prix observé : $0.217230. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.213327 → $0.221883	3.93%	0.90	0.68	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.248502 → $0.259910	4.49%	1.20	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.031272	-3.28

Prix observé : $0.217230. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T02:46:18+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 822,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T02:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}