Observation #60440

← Research Observations / #60440

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-29 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$77,947.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,498,665,175

Synced: 10-29 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-29 19:00)

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0571

evaluated_at: 2026-10-29 19:46:26 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00037046

Settled at: 2026-10-29 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)44,133.84

OI (USD)$3,445,705,240

Mark price$78,074.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,644,035,635

Snapshot at: 2026-10-29 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.759%

Change 4h +3.255%

Change 24h -0.724%

Z-score 7d -0.93

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -3.551%

Divergence -7.70 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.817

OI / Vol z-7d

-2.13 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+5.566%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+92 crowded

Time: 2026-10-29 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #453922	fresh	0s	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.731	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 38b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.92	45%	↔ +0.11	below_value	-3.34	—	#215706	—	—	—	—	28/10 20:00 upd 29/10 20:15	↗
4h #453896	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.554	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 40%	late 1b -1.7ATR	—	—	4.58	100%	↑ +0.43	below_value	-1.65	inside	#215533	—	—	—	—	29/10 16:00 upd 29/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #453895	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.551	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 45%	late 2b -1.8ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.76	77%	↑ +0.86	below_value	-1.65	—	#215533	—	—	—	—	29/10 19:00 upd 29/10 20:05	↗
15m #453821	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.510	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 47%	late 10b -2.3ATR	—	—	1.78	98%	↑ +0.80	below_value	-1.65	—	#215533	—	—	—	—	29/10 19:45 upd 29/10 20:00	↗
5m #453820	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.480	compression	bear_low_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 47%	late 18b -3.5ATR	—	—	0.66	72%	↑ +0.46	below_value	-1.65	—	#215533	—	—	—	—	29/10 19:55 upd 29/10 20:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #233457	fresh	2026-10-29 19:00	0s	0.582	0.300	11/90	2026-10-29 20:00
4h #233543	fresh	2026-10-29 16:00	0s	0.625	0.327	11/90	2026-10-29 20:00
1d #233629	fresh	2026-10-28 20:00	0s	0.529	0.329	8/86	2026-10-29 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #215619	fresh	2026-10-29 19:45	0s	$78,931.99	$80,827.78	$78,505.01	lvn LVN	-2.30	5.43
7d #215706	fresh	2026-10-29 19:00	0s	$80,271.77	$81,347.40	$79,619.33	lvn LVN	-3.34	2.48
30d #215793	fresh	2026-10-29 16:00	0s	$81,625.77	$83,922.17	$80,157.58	lvn LVN	-2.78	3.64

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$77,856.00 → $78,231.74	0.48%	0.88	0.58	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$81,681.73 → $81,955.00	0.33%	0.64	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,734.73	-8.74

Prix observé : $77,947.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$77,856.00 → $78,596.60	0.95%	1.06	0.83	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $77,947.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$78,200.00 → $79,555.25	1.72%	1.31	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↓ $253.00	-0.24
below	$86,482.08 → $87,235.00	0.87%	0.73	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $8,535.08	-8.25

Prix observé : $77,947.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	pending	20:05	20:20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1h	pending	20:05	21:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
4h	pending	20:05	00:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
12h	pending	20:05	08:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%
1d	pending	20:05	20:05	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	0%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T23:46:26+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 814,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-29T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}