Observation #6398

← Research Observations / #6398

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-09-29 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.9995

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,437,143

Synced: 09-29 04:02 +1h

← Prev (09-29 02:00) Next (09-29 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7762

evaluated_at: 2026-09-29 02:46:20 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.005112%

Annualized-44.78%

Premium-0.00090894

Settled at: 2026-09-29 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,457,527.20

OI (USD)$10,893,224

Mark price$1.9960

Funding next-0.005273%

Day vol (USD)$4,786,316

Snapshot at: 2026-09-29 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.823%

Change 4h +0.869%

Change 24h -9.115%

Z-score 7d 0.27

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.003151%

Avg 24h 0.000351%

Percentile 7d 12.5%

Percentile 30d 15.8%

Δ 4h +0.001096%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +2.586%

Divergence 1.21

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.185

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.01

OI momentum 4h

+8.226%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

-5

Time: 2026-09-29 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #167054	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.504	compression	range_high	27%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 30b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.72	68%	↔ +0.08	below_value	-2.78	—	#92658	0.48	bull_high	+12.96%	-0.93	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:29	↗
4h #168898	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.431	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 14b -1.5ATR	—	—	2.05	64%	↓ -0.16	value	-4.04	—	#93467	0.32	bull_high	+1.23%	-0.54	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 00:21	↗
1h anchor #170173	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.406	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b 0.1ATR	near -0.4ATR	near -0.7ATR	0.42	30%	↓ -0.36	value	-3.21	—	#94083	0.60	range_medium	+0.15%	-0.09	29/09 02:00 upd 29/09 03:12	↗
15m #170089	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.539	compression	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 42%	late 5b 2.1ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.13	6%	↓ -0.35	below_value	-4.48	—	#93907	0.79	range_low	+0.63%	+0.10	29/09 02:45 upd 29/09 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #164187	fresh	2026-09-29 02:00	0s	0.483	0.449	49/87	2026-09-29 03:00	2026-09-29 03:37
4h #163926	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	3h	0.450	0.333	59/88	2026-09-29 00:00	2026-09-29 00:39
1d #163481	fresh	2026-09-27 20:00	7h	0.278	0.350	88/89	2026-09-28 20:00	2026-09-28 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #93995	fresh	2026-09-29 02:45	0s	$1.9975	$2.0078	$1.9654	hvn	0.14	3.01
7d #94083	fresh	2026-09-29 02:00	0s	$2.1087	$2.1593	$1.9569	value	-3.21	5.95
30d #93555	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	3h	$2.3648	$2.4307	$2.0216	between	-6.19	6.06

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.9299 → $1.9408	0.56%	0.77	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.058747	+4.17
below	$2.0365 → $2.0483	0.58%	0.84	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.036960	-2.62

Prix observé : $1.9995. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.9170 → $1.9446	1.43%	0.81	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.054892	+1.61
below	$2.2422 → $2.2851	1.90%	1.26	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.242655	-7.13

Prix observé : $1.9995. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.8135 → $1.9175	5.58%	1.54	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.081975	+1.21
below	$2.4654 → $2.5139	1.95%	0.72	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.465890	-6.90
below	$2.5902 → $2.6457	2.12%	0.82	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.590720	-8.75

Prix observé : $1.9995. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T06:46:20+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 820,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-29T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}