Observation #654

← Research Observations / #654

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.455460

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,432,518

Synced: 09-26 07:01 +1h

← Prev (09-26 05:00) Next (09-26 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3231

evaluated_at: 2026-09-26 05:46:01 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.005575%

Annualized48.83%

Premium0.00094597

Settled at: 2026-09-26 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)21,472,161.00

OI (USD)$9,774,128

Mark price$0.455200

Funding next0.005562%

Day vol (USD)$1,446,148

Snapshot at: 2026-09-26 05:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.228%

Change 4h -0.126%

Change 24h -3.503%

Z-score 7d -0.28

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.002654%

Avg 24h 0.005472%

Percentile 7d 61.3%

Percentile 30d 84.6%

Δ 4h -0.005536%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.843%

Divergence 0.03

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.442

OI / Vol z-7d

1.61

OI momentum 4h

-0.051%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+980 crowded

Time: 2026-09-26 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #136214	fresh	10h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.577	compression	bull_high	48%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 21b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.53	48%	↑ +0.37	above_value	-4.91	—	#79263	0.74	bull_high_confirmed	+14.79%	-1.00	24/09 20:00 upd 25/09 20:22	↗
4h #139584	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.643	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 43%	early 13b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.08	7%	↓ -0.86	value	-6.93	—	#80764	0.63	bull_high	+3.45%	-0.76	26/09 00:00 upd 26/09 04:16	↗
1h anchor #140413	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.673	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 10b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.28	8%	↓ -0.62	below_value	-7.60	—	#81193	0.56	range_medium	-0.11%	+0.13	26/09 05:00 upd 26/09 06:12	↗
15m #140252	fresh	15min	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.509	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 41%	late 4b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.58	19%	↑ +0.39	value	-7.13	—	#81021	0.72	range_low	-0.05%	-0.11	26/09 05:30 upd 26/09 05:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #156795	fresh	2026-09-26 05:00	0s	0.446	0.479	71/85	2026-09-26 06:00	2026-09-26 06:36
4h #156623	fresh	2026-09-26 00:00	2h	0.361	0.330	83/85	2026-09-26 04:00	2026-09-26 04:38
1d #155797	fresh	2026-09-24 20:00	10h	0.324	0.363	82/82	2026-09-25 20:00	2026-09-25 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #81107	fresh	2026-09-26 05:45	0s	$0.459016	$0.462416	$0.448061	hvn	-1.21	4.87
7d #81193	fresh	2026-09-26 05:00	0s	$0.509426	$0.540831	$0.456398	between	-7.60	11.89
30d #80849	fresh	2026-09-26 00:00	2h	$0.490744	$0.553630	$0.429989	value	-1.55	6.34

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.441010 → $0.447306	1.42%	2.13	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008154	+2.76

Prix observé : $0.455460. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.419330 → $0.428597	2.19%	1.31	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.026863	+3.78
below	$0.460517 → $0.473902	2.87%	1.89	0.44	reversion	—	↓ $0.005057	-0.71
below	$0.534653 → $0.542890	1.53%	1.16	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.079193	-11.15

Prix observé : $0.455460. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.617583 → $0.675140	8.90%	2.95	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.162123	-8.31

Prix observé : $0.455460. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T09:46:01+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 839,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T09:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}