Observation #8071

← Research Observations / #8071

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-09-29 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.423480

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,316,900

Synced: 09-30 00:02 +1h

← Prev (09-29 22:00) Next (09-30 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4086

evaluated_at: 2026-09-29 22:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00057945

Settled at: 2026-09-29 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)18,337,367.60

OI (USD)$7,767,709

Mark price$0.423600

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,389,349

Snapshot at: 2026-09-29 22:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.425%

Change 4h +2.380%

Change 24h -3.984%

Z-score 7d 0.28

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001332%

Percentile 7d 53.0%

Percentile 30d 75.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.825%

Divergence 0.20

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.492

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.13

OI momentum 4h

+2.087%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1069 crowded

Time: 2026-09-29 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177631	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.554	compression	bear_high	45%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 25b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.92	77%	↑ +0.37	value	-3.72	—	#97284	0.73	bull_high	+12.90%	-0.97	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:28	↗
4h #177512	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.630	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 21b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.37	18%	↔ +0.03	value	-3.72	—	#97284	0.63	bull_high	+1.75%	-0.81	29/09 16:00 upd 29/09 20:21	↗
1h anchor #178784	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.408	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 9b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	1.01	42%	↔ +0.03	value	-2.62	inside	#97866	0.57	range_medium	-0.51%	+0.20	29/09 22:00 upd 29/09 23:11	↗
15m #178709	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.576	compression	bull_medium	61%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 13b 1.0ATR	—	near -1.5ATR	0.17	12%	↔ -0.03	value	-2.40	—	#97703	0.72	range_low	-0.23%	+0.17	29/09 22:45 upd 29/09 23:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #166357	fresh	2026-09-29 22:00	0s	0.534	0.523	23/82	2026-09-29 23:00	2026-09-29 23:36
4h #166024	fresh	2026-09-29 16:00	3h	0.368	0.288	77/84	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:39
1d #166107	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	3h	0.247	0.197	82/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #97785	fresh	2026-09-29 22:45	0s	$0.410024	$0.419378	$0.407493	between	4.59	4.06
7d #97866	fresh	2026-09-29 22:00	0s	$0.441840	$0.471341	$0.406772	value	-2.63	9.23
30d #97368	fresh	2026-09-29 16:00	3h	$0.494830	$0.543148	$0.430012	between	-4.65	6.81

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.399350 → $0.404632	1.31%	1.80	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.018848	+6.43

Prix observé : $0.423480. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.398980	1.69%	0.96	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.024500	+3.50
below	$0.471341 → $0.475794	0.94%	0.64	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.047861	-6.84
below	$0.503625 → $0.525890	4.33%	3.18	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.080145	-11.46

Prix observé : $0.423480. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.404085	2.96%	0.71	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.019395	+1.17
below	$0.616215 → $0.675140	9.13%	3.55	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.192735	-11.60

Prix observé : $0.423480. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T02:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T02:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}