Observation #8402

← Research Observations / #8402

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.0164

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,515,116

Synced: 09-30 04:02 +1h

← Prev (09-30 02:00) Next (09-30 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2866

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 02:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00009104

Settled at: 2026-09-30 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,514,990.80

OI (USD)$11,141,936

Mark price$2.0203

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,546,811

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.060%

Change 4h -0.032%

Change 24h +0.345%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000634%

Percentile 7d 97.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.824%

Divergence -1.40

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.724

OI / Vol z-7d

1.37

OI momentum 4h

-0.494%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

+22 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177635	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.532	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 31b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.59	60%	↔ +0.12	value	-2.74	—	#97286	0.47	bull_high	+12.90%	-0.59	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:28	↗
4h #179248	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.395	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 34%	early 6b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.80	25%	↔ +0.02	value	-1.72	—	#98030	0.31	bull_high	+1.30%	-0.20	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 00:18	↗
1h anchor #180443	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.551	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 4b -0.8ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	2.50	74%	↔ -0.07	value	-2.90	—	#98604	0.59	bear_medium	-0.86%	+0.08	30/09 02:00 upd 30/09 03:11	↗
15m #180367	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.518	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 49%	late 5b -2.1ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	2.65	83%	↑ +0.28	above_value	-1.63	—	#98440	0.71	range_low	-0.52%	-0.24	30/09 02:45 upd 30/09 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #166765	fresh	2026-09-30 02:00	0s	0.511	0.417	16/82	2026-09-30 03:00	2026-09-30 03:36
4h #166517	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	3h	0.498	0.475	36/82	2026-09-30 00:00	2026-09-30 00:39
1d #166109	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	7h	0.333	0.472	81/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #98522	fresh	2026-09-30 02:45	0s	$2.0409	$2.0682	$2.0171	between	-1.63	3.40
7d #98604	fresh	2026-09-30 02:00	0s	$2.1084	$2.1423	$1.9903	value	-2.90	4.80
30d #98111	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	3h	$1.9919	$2.3049	$1.9364	value	1.09	5.75

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0015 → $2.0102	0.43%	0.58	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006242	+0.42
below	$2.0881 → $2.1054	0.83%	1.15	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.071683	-4.77

Prix observé : $2.0164. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.1695 → $2.2428	3.32%	2.31	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.153095	-4.83

Prix observé : $2.0164. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.8135 → $1.9247	5.95%	1.73	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.091750	+1.43
below	$2.4512 → $2.5155	2.59%	1.00	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.434750	-6.78

Prix observé : $2.0164. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T06:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}