Observation #8407

← Research Observations / #8407

🪙 INIT page 📊 Market Context

🪙 INIT

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.104850

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,144,374

Synced: 09-30 04:02 +1h

← Prev (09-30 02:00) Next (09-30 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · INIT — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2866

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 02:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00004657

Settled at: 2026-09-30 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,276,090.00

OI (USD)$344,120

Mark price$0.105040

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,156,679

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177646	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.678	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 45%	late 1b 2.3ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	4.75	99%	↑ +0.19	value	+1.35	—	#97291	0.38	bull_high	+12.90%	+1.00	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:28	↗
4h #179263	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.701	volatile_reversal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 42%	early 2b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.44	97%	↑ +0.91	above_value	+0.55	—	#98035	0.21	bull_high	+1.30%	+0.69	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 00:18	↗
1h anchor #180448	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.665	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 40%	early 10b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.43	88%	↓ -0.43	value	+0.87	—	#98609	0.16	bear_medium	-0.86%	+0.62	30/09 02:00 upd 30/09 03:11	↗
15m #180292	fresh	15min	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.608	compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 3b 1.6ATR	—	—	0.19	23%	↓ -0.52	value	+0.93	—	#98445	0.12	range_low	-0.46%	+0.40	30/09 02:30 upd 30/09 02:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #166769	fresh	2026-09-30 02:00	0s	0.686	0.758	3/82	2026-09-30 03:00	2026-09-30 03:37
4h #166521	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	3h	0.716	0.801	4/82	2026-09-30 00:00	2026-09-30 00:39
1d #166113	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	7h	0.855	0.955	4/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #98527	fresh	2026-09-30 02:45	0s	$0.102329	$0.107720	$0.098506	value	1.93	7.06
7d #98609	fresh	2026-09-30 02:00	0s	$0.102203	$0.107547	$0.092948	value	0.87	4.82
30d #98116	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	3h	$0.067771	$0.093590	$0.055990	between	6.61	7.03

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.092625 → $0.095566	3.13%	2.25	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009284	+7.11
below	$0.113209 → $0.116150	2.56%	2.25	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008359	-6.41

Prix observé : $0.104850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.085909 → $0.087734	2.10%	0.60	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.017116	+5.65
below	$0.111457 → $0.116150	4.12%	1.55	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006607	-2.18

Prix observé : $0.104850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.077547 → $0.081057	4.43%	0.66	0.75	reversion	✓	↑ $0.023793	+4.45
below	$0.105121 → $0.116150	9.97%	2.06	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000271	-0.05

Prix observé : $0.104850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T06:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}