Observation #8427

← Research Observations / #8427

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,258.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,049,704,115

Synced: 09-30 05:15 +1.3h

← Prev (09-30 03:00) Next (09-30 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5058

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 03:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000388%

Annualized3.40%

Premium-0.00046897

Settled at: 2026-09-30 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)35,389.38

OI (USD)$2,949,598,827

Mark price$83,347.00

Funding next0.000460%

Day vol (USD)$2,102,120,872

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 03:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.925%

Change 4h -1.185%

Change 24h +5.689%

Z-score 7d -0.60

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000393%

Avg 24h 0.000826%

Percentile 7d 16.7%

Percentile 30d 12.4%

Δ 4h +0.000005%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.016%

Divergence 0.34

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.394

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.21

OI momentum 4h

-1.086%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+28 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177409	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.605	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	early 14b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.78	48%	↔ +0.01	above_value	-1.13	—	#97227	—	—	—	—	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:15	↗
4h #180783	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.504	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early 10b -0.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.74	34%	↑ +0.25	below_value	-2.74	—	#98548	—	—	—	—	30/09 00:00 upd 30/09 04:05	↗
1h anchor #180782	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.531	compression	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 39%	early 8b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.37	16%	↓ -0.61	below_value	-2.74	—	#98548	—	—	—	—	30/09 03:00 upd 30/09 04:05	↗
15m #180714	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.629	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.34	11%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-2.74	—	#98548	—	—	—	—	30/09 03:45 upd 30/09 04:00	↗
5m #180713	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.653	normal	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 42%	early 12b 0.2ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.18	20%	↓ -0.59	below_value	-2.74	—	#98548	—	—	—	—	30/09 03:55 upd 30/09 04:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #166791	fresh	2026-09-30 03:00	0s	0.462	0.490	50/82	2026-09-30 04:00	2026-09-30 04:35
4h #166873	fresh	2026-09-30 00:00	0s	0.483	0.486	42/82	2026-09-30 04:00	2026-09-30 04:37
1d #166050	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	8h	0.607	0.669	34/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #98630	fresh	2026-09-30 03:45	0s	$83,128.40	$84,008.93	$82,899.60	value	0.74	6.34
7d #98712	fresh	2026-09-30 03:00	0s	$84,088.38	$84,571.55	$83,283.08	between	-2.15	3.33
30d #98794	fresh	2026-09-30 00:00	0s	$77,154.77	$83,176.93	$74,903.00	value	7.06	10.00

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,648.40 → $83,842.53	0.23%	1.11	0.51	reversion	✓	↓ $390.40	-2.23
below	$84,411.07 → $84,522.00	0.13%	0.63	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,153.07	-6.59

Prix observé : $83,258.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,755.98	0.25%	0.53	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $502.02	+1.30
below	$85,069.37 → $85,655.03	0.69%	1.51	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,811.37	-4.68

Prix observé : $83,258.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.63	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,831.33	+9.46
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.52	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $395.27	+0.48
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.01	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,375.13	-4.08

Prix observé : $83,258.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	04:05	04:20	-0.10%	-0.22×	+0.03×	-0.46×	5m	10m	High first	0.47	0.00%	-0.10%	48.24%	0.23%	$15.58M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	04:05	05:05	-0.11%	-0.23×	+0.03×	-0.68×	5m	50m	High first	0.12	0.00%	-0.11%	30.28%	0.33%	$52.09M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	04:05	08:05	+0.67%	+1.47×	+1.82×	-0.68×	3h45m	50m	Low first	0.19	0.00%	+0.67%	30.50%	1.15%	$329.27M	05:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	04:05	16:05	+0.40%	+0.87×	+6.29×	-0.68×	5h5m	50m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.40%	56.42%	3.19%	$2.23B	05:30 / 08:30	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	04:05	04:05	+0.27%	+0.60×	+6.29×	-0.68×	5h5m	50m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	+0.27%	44.83%	3.19%	$2.94B	05:30 / 08:30	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T07:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T07:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}