Observation #8784

← Research Observations / #8784

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 08:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

07:00–08:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

08:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

09:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.333360

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,633,096

Synced: 09-30 09:00 +1h

← Prev (09-30 07:00) Next (09-30 09:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7222

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 07:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00023287

Settled at: 2026-09-30 08:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)47,059,016.00

OI (USD)$15,686,182

Mark price$0.333330

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$8,727,322

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 07:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.107%

Change 4h -0.857%

Change 24h -6.530%

Z-score 7d 0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000879%

Percentile 7d 78.6%

Percentile 30d 89.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +2.446%

Divergence 0.95

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.764

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.03

OI momentum 4h

-0.071%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

+17 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 07:00:00 OI observed: 06:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 07:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177547	fresh	12h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.693	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	69%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 13b 1.3ATR	—	—	1.40	97%	↑ +0.78	above_value	+0.33	—	#97261	0.59	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.99	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:23	↗
4h #182551	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.710	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 35%	early 15b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.17	37%	↓ -0.40	above_value	+1.00	—	#99481	0.47	bull_high	+1.97%	-0.23	30/09 04:00 upd 30/09 08:15	↗
1h anchor #182550	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.587	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 36%	early 4b 0.7ATR	near 0.2ATR	near -1.1ATR	0.27	15%	↓ -0.72	above_value	+1.00	—	#99481	0.49	range_medium	+0.20%	+0.17	30/09 07:00 upd 30/09 08:14	↗
15m #182443	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.688	compression	bull_medium	63%	choppy 47%	late 19b 1.4ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	0.15	2%	↓ -0.40	above_value	+0.77	—	#99317	0.63	range_low	+0.50%	+0.29	30/09 07:45 upd 30/09 08:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #167230	fresh	2026-09-30 07:00	0s	0.499	0.574	39/81	2026-09-30 08:00	2026-09-30 08:36
4h #167311	fresh	2026-09-30 04:00	0s	0.494	0.635	44/81	2026-09-30 08:00	2026-09-30 08:38
1d #166084	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	12h	0.664	0.802	22/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #99399	fresh	2026-09-30 07:45	0s	$0.329724	$0.333645	$0.322935	value	1.53	4.52
7d #99481	fresh	2026-09-30 07:00	0s	$0.326940	$0.354376	$0.318077	hvn	1.00	5.65
30d #99563	fresh	2026-09-30 04:00	0s	$0.242526	$0.322017	$0.210871	hvn	6.09	7.57

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.316050 → $0.319110	0.96%	1.29	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.014250	+6.01
below	$0.336323 → $0.339000	0.79%	1.13	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002963	-1.25

Prix observé : $0.333360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.274180 → $0.282622	3.03%	1.31	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.050738	+7.89
above	$0.308791 → $0.315544	2.16%	1.05	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.017816	+2.77
below	$0.367883 → $0.375480	2.04%	1.18	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.034523	-5.37

Prix observé : $0.333360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.309355 → $0.317796	2.69%	0.57	0.38	reversion	—	↑ $0.015564	+1.06
below	$0.352969 → $0.375480	6.18%	1.53	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.019609	-1.33

Prix observé : $0.333360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T11:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T11:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}