Observation #8833

← Research Observations / #8833

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$85,262.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,709,385,859

Synced: 09-30 10:15 +1.3h

← Prev (09-30 08:00) Next (09-30 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8849

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 08:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00036782

Settled at: 2026-09-30 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)33,813.62

OI (USD)$2,889,915,086

Mark price$85,466.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,464,779,431

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 08:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.470%

Change 4h +0.262%

Change 24h +4.368%

Z-score 7d 0.47

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000563%

Avg 24h 0.000778%

Percentile 7d 23.2%

Percentile 30d 16.7%

Δ 4h +0.000175%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +2.697%

Divergence 4.35 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.405

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.19

OI momentum 4h

+0.800%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-09-30 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177409	fresh	13h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.605	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	early 14b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.78	48%	↔ +0.01	above_value	-1.13	—	#97227	—	—	—	—	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:15	↗
4h #182486	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.635	expansion	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 11b 0.0ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.84	45%	↔ +0.09	above_value	-0.52	—	#99286	—	—	—	—	30/09 04:00 upd 30/09 08:05	↗
1h anchor #182970	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.455	expansion	bull_medium_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 44%	late 5b 3.5ATR	—	—	6.39	99%	↑ +0.56	above_value	-0.52	—	#99450	—	—	—	—	30/09 08:00 upd 30/09 09:05	↗
15m #182895	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.338	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	32%	choppy 55%	late 16b 4.6ATR	—	—	5.22	100%	↑ +0.54	above_value	-0.52	—	#99450	—	—	—	—	30/09 08:45 upd 30/09 09:00	↗
5m #182894	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.362	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	32%	ranging_calm 55%	late 8b 4.1ATR	—	—	1.39	97%	↑ +0.98	above_value	-0.52	—	#99450	—	—	—	—	30/09 08:55 upd 30/09 09:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #167361	fresh	2026-09-30 08:00	0s	0.705	0.613	5/79	2026-09-30 09:00	2026-09-30 09:35
4h #167280	fresh	2026-09-30 04:00	1h	0.492	0.521	46/81	2026-09-30 08:00	2026-09-30 08:37
1d #166050	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	13h	0.607	0.669	34/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #99614	fresh	2026-09-30 08:45	0s	$83,595.56	$83,958.83	$82,902.03	lvn LVN	5.66	3.59
7d #99694	fresh	2026-09-30 08:00	0s	$84,081.99	$84,582.78	$83,323.65	between	2.39	2.55
30d #99532	fresh	2026-09-30 04:00	1h	$77,154.77	$83,176.93	$74,903.00	between	7.86	9.91

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$84,465.22 → $84,707.40	0.29%	0.82	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↑ $554.60	+1.88
inside	$85,103.70 → $85,500.00	0.46%	1.35	0.69	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $85,262.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$85,298.20 → $85,985.00	0.80%	1.39	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $36.2000	-0.07

Prix observé : $85,262.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.63	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,835.33	+11.78
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.51	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $2,399.27	+2.87
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.00	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,371.13	-1.64

Prix observé : $85,262.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	09:05	09:20	+0.08%	+0.11×	+0.73×	-0.04×	5m	5m	Tied	0.21	0.00%	+0.08%	37.75%	0.52%	$77.38M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	09:05	10:05	-0.81%	-1.21×	+0.73×	-2.10×	5m	40m	High first	0.34	0.00%	-0.81%	119.58%	1.91%	$443.37M	— / —	09:35 / 09:40	—	100%
4h	computed	09:05	13:05	-1.12%	-1.65×	+0.73×	-3.27×	5m	1h35m	High first	0.16	0.00%	-1.12%	73.17%	2.70%	$1.04B	— / —	09:35 / 09:40	—	100%
12h	computed	09:05	21:05	-2.00%	-2.96×	+0.73×	-3.27×	5m	1h35m	High first	0.16	0.00%	-2.00%	45.98%	2.70%	$1.61B	— / —	09:35 / 09:40	—	100%
1d	computed	09:05	09:05	-1.92%	-2.84×	+0.73×	-3.64×	5m	19h30m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-1.92%	40.77%	2.95%	$2.37B	— / —	09:35 / 09:40	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T12:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T12:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}