Observation #9041

← Research Observations / #9041

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.437290

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,479,233

Synced: 09-30 12:02 +1h

← Prev (09-30 10:00) Next (09-30 12:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2807

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 10:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00002660

Settled at: 2026-09-30 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)18,214,279.00

OI (USD)$7,976,033

Mark price$0.437900

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,513,333

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 10:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.662%

Change 4h -0.583%

Change 24h +3.264%

Z-score 7d -1.07

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001332%

Percentile 7d 53.6%

Percentile 30d 75.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.724%

Divergence 1.02

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.440

OI / Vol z-7d

0.65

OI momentum 4h

-1.377%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1081 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177631	fresh	15h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.554	compression	bear_high	45%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 25b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.92	77%	↑ +0.37	value	-3.72	—	#97284	0.73	bull_high	+12.90%	-0.97	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:28	↗
4h #182615	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.488	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early 8b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.90	50%	↔ +0.02	value	-2.21	—	#99504	0.63	bull_high	+1.97%	-0.35	30/09 04:00 upd 30/09 08:18	↗
1h anchor #183816	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.685	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 1b 1.4ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	1.06	54%	↑ +0.59	above_value	-0.68	—	#100064	0.58	range_medium	+0.03%	+0.47	30/09 10:00 upd 30/09 11:11	↗
15m #183740	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.849	volatile_reversal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	early 5b 0.8ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.05	5%	↑ +0.72	above_value	-0.37	—	#99905	0.72	range_medium	+0.14%	+0.27	30/09 10:45 upd 30/09 11:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #167569	fresh	2026-09-30 10:00	0s	0.606	0.584	15/78	2026-09-30 11:00	2026-09-30 11:36
4h #167334	fresh	2026-09-30 04:00	3h	0.412	0.323	69/81	2026-09-30 08:00	2026-09-30 08:38
1d #166107	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	15h	0.247	0.197	82/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #99985	fresh	2026-09-30 10:45	0s	$0.424529	$0.438908	$0.413602	value	2.47	4.90
7d #100064	fresh	2026-09-30 10:00	0s	$0.442935	$0.458696	$0.426504	hvn	-0.68	3.86
30d #99586	fresh	2026-09-30 04:00	3h	$0.494830	$0.543148	$0.427655	between	-4.39	7.49

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.440825 → $0.443892	0.69%	0.59	0.49	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.003535	-0.68
below	$0.446959 → $0.450410	0.77%	0.67	0.49	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.009669	-1.87

Prix observé : $0.437290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.400348	2.03%	0.97	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.036942	+4.43
below	$0.462049 → $0.472780	2.30%	1.29	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.024759	-2.97

Prix observé : $0.437290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.404085	2.96%	0.76	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.033205	+2.15
below	$0.616215 → $0.675140	9.13%	3.82	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.178925	-11.60

Prix observé : $0.437290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T14:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T14:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}