Observation #9431

← Research Observations / #9431

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.085766

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,828,745

Synced: 09-30 17:01 +1h

← Prev (09-30 15:00) Next (09-30 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 15:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00054440

Settled at: 2026-09-30 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)86,512,304.00

OI (USD)$7,408,914

Mark price$0.085640

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,141,990

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 15:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.179%

Change 4h +0.018%

Change 24h +10.143%

Z-score 7d 0.04

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001360%

Percentile 7d 73.2%

Percentile 30d 80.6%

Δ 4h -0.002748%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -4.518%

Divergence -0.59

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.786

OI / Vol z-7d

1.13

OI momentum 4h

-8.386%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+767 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177642	fresh	20h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.823	volatile_reversal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 5b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.95	94%	↑ +0.99	below_value	-15.66	—	#97289	0.30	bull_high	+12.90%	+1.00	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:28	↗
4h #185909	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.381	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 46%	early 7b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.47	71%	↔ -0.01	below_value	-9.80	—	#100915	0.13	bull_high	+1.54%	-0.97	30/09 12:00 upd 30/09 16:18	↗
1h anchor #185907	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.794	expansion	bear_high	68%	noisy_chop 46%	early 6b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.48	20%	↑ +0.55	below_value	-9.80	—	#100915	0.12	range_medium	-0.23%	+0.73	30/09 15:00 upd 30/09 16:18	↗
15m #185753	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.582	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 50%	late 23b -2.5ATR	—	—	0.20	11%	↓ -0.54	below_value	-9.25	—	#100759	0.13	range_low	-0.24%	-0.64	30/09 15:45 upd 30/09 16:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #168031	fresh	2026-09-30 15:00	0s	0.453	0.442	51/77	2026-09-30 16:00	2026-09-30 16:36
4h #168108	fresh	2026-09-30 12:00	0s	0.258	0.247	77/77	2026-09-30 16:00	2026-09-30 16:39
1d #166112	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	20h	0.513	0.629	61/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #100837	fresh	2026-09-30 15:45	0s	$0.093422	$0.097496	$0.086451	lvn LVN	-5.87	8.46
7d #100915	fresh	2026-09-30 15:00	0s	$0.116078	$0.140555	$0.103688	between	-9.80	11.98
30d #100993	fresh	2026-09-30 12:00	0s	$0.114093	$0.140392	$0.085949	value	-3.71	7.26

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.080839 → $0.083736	3.52%	2.22	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $0.002030	+1.56
inside	$0.084279 → $0.085908	1.91%	1.25	0.64	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.085766. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.077096 → $0.080118	3.84%	0.98	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005648	+1.84
above	$0.083744 → $0.085557	2.14%	0.59	0.41	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.000209	+0.07
below	$0.089788 → $0.095831	6.51%	1.96	0.48	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.004022	-1.31
below	$0.142368 → $0.149620	4.97%	2.36	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.056602	-18.39

Prix observé : $0.085766. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.038888 → $0.046270	17.34%	0.98	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.039496	+5.27
above	$0.053652 → $0.062880	15.84%	1.23	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022886	+3.05
above	$0.069339 → $0.076721	10.11%	0.98	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009045	+1.21

Prix observé : $0.085766. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T19:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T19:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}