Observation #9451

← Research Observations / #9451

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,663.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,875,647,309

Synced: 09-30 18:15 +1.3h

← Prev (09-30 16:00) Next (09-30 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2556

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 16:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00009134

Settled at: 2026-09-30 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)35,846.88

OI (USD)$3,000,311,784

Mark price$83,698.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,894,976,530

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 16:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.920%

Change 4h -1.395%

Change 24h -0.478%

Z-score 7d -0.74

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000798%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.805%

Divergence -0.85

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.039

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.59

OI momentum 4h

-2.347%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+11 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177409	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.605	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	early 14b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.78	48%	↔ +0.01	above_value	-1.13	—	#97227	—	—	—	—	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:15	↗
4h #185773	fresh	1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.644	volatile_reversal	bull_high	48%	noisy_chop 34%	early 1b 0.1ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.63	37%	↔ +0.12	above_value	-0.28	—	#100701	—	—	—	—	30/09 12:00 upd 30/09 16:05	↗
1h anchor #186243	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.513	volatile_reversal	range_medium	32%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.45	41%	↑ +0.56	value	-0.87	—	#100857	—	—	—	—	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 17:05	↗
15m #186167	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.479	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 18b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.17	4%	↓ -0.22	value	-0.87	—	#100857	—	—	—	—	30/09 16:45 upd 30/09 17:00	↗
5m #186166	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.393	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 37%	early 12b -0.6ATR	near -3.3ATR	—	0.11	3%	↓ -0.67	value	-0.87	—	#100857	—	—	—	—	30/09 16:55 upd 30/09 17:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #168127	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	0s	0.517	0.489	23/77	2026-09-30 17:00	2026-09-30 17:35
4h #168050	fresh	2026-09-30 12:00	1h	0.520	0.490	29/77	2026-09-30 16:00	2026-09-30 16:37
1d #166050	fresh	2026-09-28 20:00	21h	0.607	0.669	34/83	2026-09-29 20:00	2026-09-29 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #101013	fresh	2026-09-30 16:45	0s	$83,721.92	$84,507.08	$83,118.83	hvn	-0.25	5.92
7d #101091	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	0s	$84,085.11	$84,536.32	$83,324.50	value	-0.77	2.21
30d #100935	fresh	2026-09-30 12:00	1h	$77,154.77	$83,491.13	$74,903.00	hvn	7.20	9.28

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$84,529.84 → $84,689.15	0.19%	0.68	0.40	continuation_up	—	↓ $866.84	-3.69
below	$84,757.43 → $85,098.80	0.40%	1.46	0.38	continuation_up	—	↓ $1,094.43	-4.66
below	$85,485.69 → $85,645.00	0.19%	0.68	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,822.69	-7.77

Prix observé : $83,663.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$85,077.77 → $85,645.00	0.66%	1.03	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,414.77	-2.58

Prix observé : $83,663.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.68	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,131.60	+8.78
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.36	0.71	reversion	✓	↑ $800.27	+0.86
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	0.90	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,970.13	-3.21

Prix observé : $83,663.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	17:05	17:20	+0.04%	+0.06×	+0.13×	-0.07×	15m	5m	Low first	0.69	0.00%	+0.04%	0.27%	0.13%	$7.32M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	17:05	18:05	-0.07%	-0.11×	+0.13×	-0.12×	15m	1h	High first	0.16	0.00%	-0.07%	15.64%	0.16%	$43.05M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	17:05	21:05	-0.28%	-0.45×	+0.19×	-0.68×	1h30m	3h15m	High first	0.12	0.00%	-0.28%	18.47%	0.54%	$233.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	17:05	05:05	-0.23%	-0.36×	+1.20×	-1.20×	9h10m	11h30m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.23%	31.21%	1.49%	$742.27M	01:15 / —	04:30 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	17:05	17:05	+0.98%	+1.58×	+2.87×	-1.20×	21h35m	11h30m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.98%	40.07%	2.53%	$2.17B	01:15 / 13:25	04:30 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T20:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T20:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-30T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}