Observation #9763

← Research Observations / #9763

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$10.8550

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $17,512,166

Synced: 09-30 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (09-30 20:00) Next (09-30 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6021

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 20:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00022152

Settled at: 2026-09-30 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,456,637.04

OI (USD)$37,487,229

Mark price$10.8450

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$18,612,525

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 20:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.175%

Change 4h +0.515%

Change 24h -1.051%

Z-score 7d 0.04

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 94.6%

Percentile 30d 91.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.732%

Divergence -0.44

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.414

OI / Vol z-7d

0.09

OI momentum 4h

+4.761%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+317 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187508	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.684	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 6b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.89	96%	↑ +0.76	above_value	+3.10	—	#101559	0.72	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:16	↗
4h #187419	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.683	normal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 35%	early 8b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.15	38%	↑ +0.24	above_value	+3.10	—	#101559	0.53	bull_high	+1.53%	+0.02	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 20:12	↗
1h anchor #188012	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.537	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 12b -1.2ATR	—	—	3.41	97%	↓ -0.37	above_value	+2.48	—	#101790	0.47	range_medium	-0.35%	-0.40	30/09 20:00 upd 30/09 21:08	↗
15m #187938	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.394	compression	bear_medium_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 1b -1.8ATR	near -1.7ATR	—	0.18	12%	↑ +0.84	above_value	+3.10	—	#101559	0.64	range_low	-0.30%	-0.03	30/09 20:45 upd 30/09 21:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #168588	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	0s	0.554	0.409	15/77	2026-09-30 21:00	2026-09-30 21:35
4h #168436	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	1h	0.526	0.643	28/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:37
1d #168512	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	1h	0.602	0.744	35/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #101713	fresh	2026-09-30 20:45	0s	$11.0309	$11.2076	$10.8138	value	-3.45	7.71
7d #101790	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	0s	$10.4803	$11.3559	$10.3358	hvn	2.48	6.74
30d #101636	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	1h	$11.0434	$11.6454	$9.9433	hvn	-0.21	4.27

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$11.2308 → $11.2597	0.26%	0.57	0.33	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.375750	-7.36
below	$11.3466 → $11.4740	1.12%	2.50	0.51	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.491583	-9.63

Prix observé : $10.8550. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.9788 → $10.1488	1.69%	1.12	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.706183	+4.67
below	$11.7300 → $12.0190	2.43%	1.91	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.874972	-5.78

Prix observé : $10.8550. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$8.2411 → $9.4036	13.18%	2.92	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.4514	+3.64

Prix observé : $10.8550. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T00:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T00:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}